Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Analysts: Bank of England Should Be More Hesitant on Rate Hikes Than ECB

On June 12, Berenberg analysts stated in a report that it seems reasonable for the Bank of England to be less willing to raise interest rates compared to European central banks. They noted that the UK labor market is weaker than that of the Eurozone, and the services sector is no longer significantly driving inflation as it once did. Berenberg's analysts added that, prior to the energy shock, interest rates were more restrictive, and fiscal conditions remain tighter. They mentioned that after a strong start to the year, the country is currently facing a slowdown in economic activity due to the impact of the war in Iran. The first quarter has already appeared weaker than it seems due to a 'statistical illusion' caused by changes in seasonal spending patterns since the pandemic. Berenberg's analysts stated, 'We expect stagnation this summer, with quarterly GDP growth rates of zero for the second and third quarters.'

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Ministry of Commerce Announces Details on China-U.S. Trade Council and $30 Billion Reciprocal Tariff Reduction Framework

    On September 28, China and the United States reached a consensus on the $30 billion reciprocal tariff reduction framework under the Trade Council framework. Both sides agreed to provide reduced tariff treatment on approximately $30 billion worth of imported products, based on compliance with each country's domestic laws and procedures. More than 90% of the products will be exempt from all additional tariffs imposed on each other, enjoying Most-Favored-Nation tariff treatment. The two sides have established a list of products for reciprocal tariff reduction based on their respective market needs and industrial interests. The U.S. will reduce tariffs on approximately $30 billion worth of imports from China, including toys, home appliances, baby products, kitchen and bathroom supplies, and holiday gifts. China will reduce tariffs on approximately $30 billion worth of imports from the U.S., including agricultural products, personal care items, medical devices, and coal. Both sides have agreed to jointly announce their respective lists of tariff-reduced products. Subsequently, both parties will implement the tariff reductions simultaneously after fulfilling their respective domestic legal procedures. This arrangement will help stabilize China-U.S. trade, create favorable conditions for China's exports of related products to the U.S., and also meet domestic market demands, strengthening trade cooperation in areas such as agricultural products, energy, manufactured goods, and consumer products. (Ministry of Commerce)
  • Spot Gold Falls Below $4,200 per Ounce

    On September 28, spot gold fell below $4,200 per ounce for the first time since August 5, declining by 2% during the day.
  • BTC Falls Below $84,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $84,000, currently priced at $83,991.6, with a 24-hour decline of 0.36%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • BTC Surpasses $85,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $85,000, currently priced at $84,698.97, with a 24-hour increase of 0.51%. The market is highly volatile, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • ETH Surpasses $2700

    Market data shows that ETH has surpassed $2700, currently priced at $2700.52, with a 24-hour increase of 0.36%. The market is experiencing significant fluctuations, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • Key Events and Data Forecast for This Week: Non-Farm Payrolls, PCE, and Fed Officials' Speeches

    On September 28, the key events and data forecast for this week are as follows: 1. Monday: ① Data: U.S. Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for September. ② Event: ECB President Lagarde testifies at the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee quarterly dialogue; Bank of England Deputy Governor Ramsden speaks on quantitative tightening. ③ Holiday: Taiwan Stock Exchange closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision as of September 29. ② Event: U.S. President Trump, House Speaker Johnson, and several tech CEOs hold a meeting on artificial intelligence; RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 25; U.S. ADP employment numbers for September; U.S. August Core PCE Price Index year-on-year; U.S. August personal spending month-on-month; U.S. Q2 final annualized GDP growth rate; U.S. Q2 final annualized personal consumption expenditures growth rate; U.S. Q2 final annualized Core PCE Price Index; U.S. August Core PCE Price Index month-on-month; U.S. Chicago PMI for September; U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 25; U.S. EIA crude oil inventories in Cushing, Oklahoma for the week ending September 25; U.S. EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories for the week ending September 25. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks; 2028 FOMC voter and St. Louis Fed President Bullard speaks at the London School of Economics; FOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams delivers a keynote speech at the University at Buffalo. ③ Holiday: No night trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and Dalian Commodity Exchange. 4. Thursday: ① Data: U.K. Nationwide House Price Index month-on-month for September; Switzerland CPI month-on-month for September, and real retail sales year-on-year for August; France Manufacturing PMI final for September; Germany Manufacturing PMI final for September; Eurozone Manufacturing PMI final for September; U.K. Manufacturing PMI final for September; Eurozone unemployment rate for August; U.S. Challenger Job Cuts for September; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 26; U.S. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final for September; U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for September; U.S. construction spending month-on-month for August; U.S. EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 25. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voter and Richmond Fed President Barkin delivers a welcome speech at an event; Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks; 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks; 2026 FOMC voter and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari speaks; Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from the September monetary policy meeting; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks; Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Kansas Fed President George speak; ECB President Lagarde speaks. ③ Holiday: Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, southbound and northbound trading suspended; Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, as well as domestic futures exchanges, closed from October 1 (Thursday) to October 10.
  • Michael Saylor Releases Bitcoin Tracker Update

    On September 27, Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of Bitcoin treasury company Strategy, released another update regarding the Bitcoin Tracker, captioned 'Even more orange.' Following previous patterns, Strategy typically discloses changes in Bitcoin holdings the day after related announcements.
  • BTC Surpasses $85,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $85,000, currently priced at $85,106.01, with a 24-hour increase of 1.18%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • RLUSD Circulation Approaches $2.5 Billion, Increasing by Approximately $490 Million Since August

    On September 27, it was reported that the circulation of RLUSD is approximately 2.49 billion tokens, with a market value nearing $2.5 billion. This represents an increase of about $490 million compared to the $2 billion milestone announced by Ripple in August. The total value of stablecoins on the XRP Ledger is approximately $1.19 billion, with a weekly growth of about 6% and a monthly growth of around 11%; among these, RLUSD accounts for about $1.1 billion, making up over 92%.
  • Tokenized Stock DEX Trading Volume Reaches $20.9 Billion in 30 Days, Uniswap Holds 60% Market Share

    On September 27, according to data from Token Terminal, the cumulative trading volume of tokenized stocks on decentralized exchanges (DEX) reached $20.9 billion in the past 30 days. Among these, Uniswap v4 leads with a market share of 40.7%, followed by Uniswap v3 at 19.4%. Together, they account for 60.1% of the total trading volume, which is approximately $12.6 billion.