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Key Events and Data Forecast for This Week: Non-Farm Payrolls, PCE, and Fed Officials' Speeches

On September 28, the key events and data forecast for this week are as follows: 1. Monday: ① Data: U.S. Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for September. ② Event: ECB President Lagarde testifies at the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee quarterly dialogue; Bank of England Deputy Governor Ramsden speaks on quantitative tightening. ③ Holiday: Taiwan Stock Exchange closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision as of September 29. ② Event: U.S. President Trump, House Speaker Johnson, and several tech CEOs hold a meeting on artificial intelligence; RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 25; U.S. ADP employment numbers for September; U.S. August Core PCE Price Index year-on-year; U.S. August personal spending month-on-month; U.S. Q2 final annualized GDP growth rate; U.S. Q2 final annualized personal consumption expenditures growth rate; U.S. Q2 final annualized Core PCE Price Index; U.S. August Core PCE Price Index month-on-month; U.S. Chicago PMI for September; U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 25; U.S. EIA crude oil inventories in Cushing, Oklahoma for the week ending September 25; U.S. EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories for the week ending September 25. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks; 2028 FOMC voter and St. Louis Fed President Bullard speaks at the London School of Economics; FOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams delivers a keynote speech at the University at Buffalo. ③ Holiday: No night trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and Dalian Commodity Exchange. 4. Thursday: ① Data: U.K. Nationwide House Price Index month-on-month for September; Switzerland CPI month-on-month for September, and real retail sales year-on-year for August; France Manufacturing PMI final for September; Germany Manufacturing PMI final for September; Eurozone Manufacturing PMI final for September; U.K. Manufacturing PMI final for September; Eurozone unemployment rate for August; U.S. Challenger Job Cuts for September; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 26; U.S. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final for September; U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for September; U.S. construction spending month-on-month for August; U.S. EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 25. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voter and Richmond Fed President Barkin delivers a welcome speech at an event; Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks; 2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks; 2026 FOMC voter and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari speaks; Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from the September monetary policy meeting; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks; Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Kansas Fed President George speak; ECB President Lagarde speaks. ③ Holiday: Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, southbound and northbound trading suspended; Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, as well as domestic futures exchanges, closed from October 1 (Thursday) to October 10.

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