Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Is Bitcoin going to $65K? Traders explain why they're still bearish

Bitcoin rebounded by as much as 14% after plunging to a four-month low near $76,600 on March 11. But BTC price is down approximately 25% from its record high of around $110,000, which is normal for a “bull market correction.”

Still, some analysts anticipate the Bitcoin price declines to continue in the future.

“Dark cloud” hints Bitcoin is topping out

Bitcoin faces renewed bearish pressure after rejecting at $87,470, the descending channel resistance, with a “dark cloud cover” pattern reinforcing the downtrend, according to an analysis shared by GDXTrader on X.

The dark cloud cover pattern occurs when a strong green candle is followed by a red candle that opens above the previous close but closes below the midpoint of the first candle’s body.

Such a shift in sentiment indicates that buyers attempted to push higher but were overpowered by sellers, often leading to further downside.

Bitcoin's failure to close within the $90,000-$93,000 resistance zone suggests a lack of buying conviction, GDXTrader noted, saying the cryptocurrency will remain under bearish pressure unless it decisively breaks above the said range.

BTC price “perfect rejection” risks $65,000

Bitcoin’s potential to decline further arises from its “perfect rejection” after testing the $86,000-88,000 zone as resistance, according to analysis from popular trader CrediBULL Crypto.

Notably, Bitcoin attempted to break toward the local supply zone marked in red but failed to sustain above the said resistance zone, illustrated by the orange circle in the chart below.

Failure to reclaim the supply zone has increased the probability of a drop toward lower support levels around $77,000-79,000 (highlighted in green) by March. Testing this area as support has led to sharp price rebounds in March.

Nonetheless, if this support zone breaks, a deeper move below the $77,000-79,000 region could extend toward the $65,000-74,000 area—the larger green liquidity zone in the chart above—by April.

Analyst George shared a similar outlook, as shown below.

“Hard to stay bullish” with a bear flag pattern

According to analyst CryptOpus, Bitcoin remains tightly correlated with traditional equity markets, particularly the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX), both of which are displaying bear flag patterns on the charts.

A bear flag forms when the price consolidates higher inside an ascending parallel channel. It resolves if the price breaks below the lower trendline and drops by as much as the previous downtrend’s height.

BTC is following a similar bear flag structure, with $84,000 acting as the lower trendline support. A break below this threshold could trigger a deeper sell-off toward $72,000 per the technical rule explained above.

Moreover, Bitcoin's correlation with equities has grown due to a broader decline in risk-on sentiment, led by the US President Donald Trump’s global trade war.

Arthur Breitman, the co-founder of Tezos, has called US recession one of the crypto market’s biggest external risks.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Japanese listed company ANAP Holdings increased its holdings of Bitcoin by 127.73.

    according to market sources, Japanese listed company ANAP Holdings has disclosed an increase in its Bitcoin holdings by 127.73 coins. As of now, the company's total Bitcoin holdings have reached 1,346.58 coins, valued at approximately 118 million USD.

  • Changpeng Zhao: Binance Wallet now supports identifying malicious addresses; you will receive a warning if you transfer funds to them.

    Zhao Changpeng posted on Binance Plaza stating, "The cryptocurrency industry should be able to completely eradicate address poisoning attacks and protect users. All wallets should simply check whether the receiving address is a poisoned address and block the user.This is a blockchain query. Wallets should not even display these junk transactions anywhere. If the value of the transaction is very small, filter it out. Security alliances in the industry should maintain a real-time blacklist of these addresses so that wallets can check before sending transactions. Binance Wallet is already doing this. If a user tries to send to a malicious address, they will receive a warning.

  • Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $189 million yesterday, marking the fourth consecutive day of net outflows.

     according to SoSoValue data, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs is 189 million USD.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow yesterday was Blackrock's ETF IBIT, with a single-day net outflow of 157 million USD. Currently, IBIT's total historical net inflow has reached 62.34 billion USD. The second is Fidelity's ETF FBTC, with a single-day net outflow of 15.2979 million USD. Currently, FBTC's total historical net inflow has reached 12.189 billion USD. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is 114.289 billion USD, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a proportion of Bitcoin's total market value) reaching 6.53%, and the cumulative historical net inflow has reached 57.076 billion USD.

  • BTC falls below $88,000

     market shows BTC fell below $88,000, currently at $87,997.85, 24-hour decline reaches 0.88%, market volatility is significant, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • The U.S. spot Ethereum ETF saw net inflows of $84.59 million yesterday.

     according to Trader T monitoring, the US spot Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 84.59 million USD yesterday.

  • ETH breaks $3,000

     the market shows ETH breaking through $3000, currently at $3000.08, with a 24-hour decline of 0.38%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • Binance Wallet launches "secure auto-signature" service

     according to the official announcement, Binance Wallet has launched the "Secure Auto Sign" (SAS) service: it now supports mnemonic/private key wallets to trade on Binance Wallet (web version).

  • Circle minted 500 million USDC on the Solana network.

    according to Onchain Lens monitoring, Circle has minted 500 million USDC on the Solana network. Since October 11, Circle has issued a total of 18 billion USDC on the Solana network.

  • Sources familiar with the matter: JPMorgan Chase is considering offering cryptocurrency trading services to institutional clients.

    according to Bloomberg, as major global banks deepen their involvement in the cryptocurrency asset class, JPMorgan Chase is considering offering cryptocurrency trading services to its institutional clients. A knowledgeable source revealed that JPMorgan is evaluating what products and services its market division can offer to expand its business in the cryptocurrency field. The source stated that these products and services may include spot and derivatives trading.