on August 3, based on IBM's release of research progress on quantum computing, Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256). Grok replied that, according to evaluations by NIST, IBM, and experts for 2025, the probability of quantum computing cracking SHA-256 is "almost 0% in the next 5 years, and will be below 10% by 2035". This would require millions of error-correcting quantum bits; while current systems support only about 1,000 noisy quantum bits at most. The hash value of Bitcoin is currently still secure.
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Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256), and Grok replied that it would be almost zero in the next five years.
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