On March 27, the latest pricing from the CME FedWatch Tool and interest rate futures indicates that the market has completely ruled out the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates before March 2027, with the earliest potential rate cut now pushed to April 2027. This extreme pricing stems from the strong hawkish signals released during the Fed's March 19 meeting and concerns over rising inflation due to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.
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Market Prices Zero Probability of Fed Rate Cuts Before March 2027
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Spot Gold Returns to $4,500 per Ounce
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BTC Falls Below $66,000
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U.S. Stocks Continue Downtrend, Nasdaq Decline Quickly Expands to 1%
U.S. stocks continue their downtrend, with the Nasdaq's decline quickly expanding to 1%. -
Nasdaq 100 Down 10% From October High
On March 27th, the Nasdaq 100 index fell 10% from its peak in October of last year, with markets anticipating a technical correction. -
WTI Crude Oil Rises Short-Term, Surpassing $98 per Barrel with Over 4% Increase
On March 27, WTI crude oil experienced a short-term rise, surpassing $98 per barrel, with an increase of over 4% during the day. -
IRGC: Devastating Drone Attacks Launched Against Israeli Bases and Airports
On March 27, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that since last night, Iranian forces have launched devastating drone attacks against the Israeli military support base and military transport center in Tel Aviv, as well as the military assembly point at Ben Gurion Airport. This wave of drone attacks aims to target the professional units of the Israeli military, disrupting the enemy's ground and air force preparation and support facilities and systems. It is expected that this drone attack will pose a sustained threat to the enemy's supply lines and directly impact Israel's rapid, secure, and large-scale transportation, ultimately affecting the regime's offensive operational capabilities. -
Yili Hua: Crypto Market Disappoints Over the Past 4 Years, Mid-tier Investors, Retail Investors, and VCs Have All Been Harvested
On March 27, Yili Hua, founder of Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital), stated that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a bear phase and that the war is not over, with no significant rebound in sight. The past four years in the crypto space have been disappointing; the 1011 event harvested mid-tier crypto investors, the demise of altcoins harvested retail investors, and the 1+3 rule harvested crypto VCs. Meanwhile, exchanges, market makers, and project teams have been continuously drawing blood, with the only source of lifeblood being Wall Street's ETFs and DAT, along with a few remaining believers. The anticipated disruptive innovation in crypto has yet to occur, raising questions about whether the next bull market will emerge simply due to the four-year cycle or for other reasons. -
Vance Set to Lead US-Iran Talks, His Anti-War Stance May Facilitate Diplomatic Breakthrough
On March 27, according to AXIOS, U.S. Vice President Vance is preparing to take on the most significant task of his career: leading the U.S. efforts aimed at ending the war, having expressed reservations about the initiation of the conflict from the outset. Vance has had multiple conversations with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and has participated in indirect communications with the Iranians. He is expected to become the chief negotiator for the U.S. in potential peace talks. According to sources from the U.S. and Israel, Vance is deeply skeptical of Israel's optimistic pre-war assessments regarding the conflict's trajectory, with expectations that the war will continue for several more weeks. Vance's advisors believe that there are individuals within Israel attempting to sideline the Vice President, possibly due to perceptions that he is not tough enough. Israeli officials have denied this. White House officials stated that Vance's qualifications within the government and his consistent opposition to endless overseas conflicts make him a more acceptable dialogue partner for the Iranians compared to Witkoff and Kushner, who were responsible for the previous two rounds of unsuccessful negotiations. -
Intercontinental Exchange Announces $600 Million Investment in Polymarket
On March 27, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Intercontinental Exchange announced a $600 million investment in Polymarket.
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