On July 31, U.S. chip and semiconductor stocks rapidly weakened, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index wiping out a 5% gain and turning lower. Micron Technology, which had risen 6%, is now down 4.2%. SanDisk, which had gained nearly 10%, is now down over 6%. SK Hynix and Seagate Technology, which had risen over 8%, are now down 2%. TSMC, which had gained 4%, is now down nearly 1%.
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Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Erases 5% Gain, Turns Lower
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Apple Plunges Nearly 10%, Q4 Revenue Guidance Misses Expectations
On July 31, Apple (AAPL.US) plunged nearly 10% to $300.33, marking its biggest drop since April 2025. In terms of fundamentals, Apple's third-fiscal-quarter revenue rose approximately 16% year-over-year to $109.42 billion, slightly above analyst expectations. Among the details, product revenue came in at $78.68 billion, beating the expected $77.25 billion. However, services revenue—a key driver of its valuation re-rating in recent years—totaled $30.74 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $31.36 billion. Additionally, Greater China revenue reached $18.82 billion, with year-over-year growth slowing to 22%, also below analysts' forecast of $19.58 billion. During the earnings call, Apple guided fourth-fiscal-quarter revenue growth in the range of 9% to 11%, overall below the 12.1% analysts had expected. CFO Parekh noted that component supply constraints would impact iPhone, Mac, and iPad businesses in the fourth fiscal quarter, with currency fluctuations also constraining growth. -
Three Fed Officials Back Rate Hike, Hawkish Pressure Builds
On July 31, three Federal Reserve policymakers said that dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike this week stemmed from stubborn inflationary pressures, highlighting rising internal pressure on Fed Chair Warsh to act. In statements released Friday morning, Hammack and Kashkari said they worry that although the current round of price increases may stem from short-term factors such as President Trump's tariff policies and the Iran war, the inflation situation already warrants Fed action. Logan also joined in, saying that even if inflation cools, if the Fed does not raise rates, inflation is unlikely to fully fall back to the Fed's 2% target; without any policy constraints, inflation could continue to run above target until an unexpected shock occurs. Kashkari said that if inflation remains persistently stubborn, he might support a series of rate hikes, not just a single increase, to prevent inflation from becoming further entrenched. He said: "A series of small policy adjustments may be preferable to waiting for developments to unfold and ultimately having to take more forceful action." Hammack said that if the Fed does not tighten policy, price increases could continue to accelerate. She said: "Inflation has been stubbornly above 2% for more than five years, and I have no confidence that it will return to our target on its own." (Jin Shi) -
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.7388%, Highest Since January 2025
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Fed's Logan: Leaning Toward 25 Basis Point Rate Hike
On July 31, Federal Reserve Governor Logan said she leans toward a 25 basis point rate hike, believing inflation has not yet entered a sustainable path back to the Fed's 2% target. Logan stated that taking moderate action now would reduce the risk of needing more aggressive tightening in the future, while emphasizing that the Fed cannot rely on unexpected shocks to achieve its inflation target. -
Fed's Logan: Taking Modest Actions Now Reduces Likelihood of Needing Stronger Action Later
On July 31, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said that taking modest actions in the near term would reduce the likelihood of needing to take stronger action in the future. -
US Dollar Index Rebounds After Short-Term Dip, Fully Recovers Earlier Losses
On July 31, the US dollar index (DXY) rebounded sharply after a short-term decline, now at 100.4. USD/JPY plunged briefly to a low of 159.13, then rebounded slightly, now at 159.4.
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