BlueBay Chief Investment Officer Mark Dowding said in a report that if Fed Chair Warsh abandons forward guidance, it could increase the risk of the market losing confidence in the Fed. Dowding stated: "During the era when previous Fed chairs implemented forward guidance, the institution enjoyed a high degree of trust and credibility." However, if an information vacuum emerges, market doubts may intensify, and trust in the Fed could begin to waver. He pointed out that current U.S. debt levels have reached record highs and are growing at an alarming rate. If a laissez-faire approach is taken toward market trends, a sudden loss of market confidence could sow enormous risks. (Jin Shi)
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Institution: Fed's Warsh Faces Risk of Evaporating Market Confidence
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On July 31, according to The Daily Telegraph, the United States and Israel are discussing the possibility of imposing a land blockade on Iran. The proposal is one of several options being considered by Trump and Netanyahu, aimed at further increasing economic pressure on Iran. The plan could require the US and Israel to pressure Iran's neighboring countries and regional partners to tighten or even close border crossings, restricting Iran's import and export trade flows. Retired three-star Lieutenant General Sean MacFarland said that although a land blockade is "almost impossible to achieve," "if you deprive Iran of the ability to trade... then you are economically isolating it. That is the way to make them capitulate. Economic means are the most straightforward approach, but they must include a military action component." Iran borders Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, which means US and Israeli leaders would have to persuade these countries to cooperate, many of which are not their allies. A land blockade on Iran could target key border crossings, such as Incheh Borun and Sarakhs-Sarakhs, which connect Iran and Turkmenistan. -
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Amazon Premarket Gains 13% on Booming Cloud Business
On July 31, Amazon's premarket shares rose 13% after the company released its Q2 2026 earnings report, with both performance and profitability beating expectations. AWS cloud business revenue growth hit a new high in 18 quarters. The company raised its full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance and gave an optimistic outlook for AI's long-term trillion-dollar revenue potential: the trend of AI computing power supply shortage will continue, and the supply gap may persist until 2028. -
Brent crude oil futures expand gains to 1%, reported at $87.755/barrel
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On July 31, USD/JPY halted its decline after a short-term plunge to a low of 158.53, with a cumulative drop of over 150 pips. It has now rebounded to 159.43, erasing intraday losses and currently trading up about 0.04% on the day. (Jin Shi) -
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On July 31, according to Korean media, on the first day that South Korean financial regulators imposed restrictions on individual stock leveraged ETFs, trading volume in related products crashed to a quarter of the previous day's level. Data from the Korea Exchange (KRX) on individual stock leveraged ETF trading today showed that on the first day of the new rules, the total trading volume of 16 individual stock leveraged and inverse ETFs stood at 3.3071 trillion won. This represents a sharp decline of 75.3% from the previous day (12.4485 trillion won). Compared with the July average daily trading volume of 12.27 trillion won, the financial regulators' strong control measures have clearly taken immediate effect in curbing capital flows. Excluding inverse products, trading volume of the 14 major individual stock leveraged ETFs also fell 64.4%, from 6.9354 trillion won the previous day to 2.4686 trillion won. -
Japan Authorities Suspected of Second Intervention, Yen Strengthens Broadly
On July 31, the yen was suspected of facing a second round of intervention, as the yen strengthened. The USD/JPY pair plunged about 150 pips, EUR/JPY dropped about 130 pips, GBP/JPY fell about 200 pips, and CAD/JPY and AUD/JPY each declined about 100 pips. (Jin10)
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