On March 27, former White House economist Nouriel Roubini predicted that President Trump is more likely to escalate the war against Iran in pursuit of victory rather than retreat and face the risk of more severe consequences for the economy and international order. He stated that the probability of escalation exceeds 50%. He also mentioned that there will soon be a change in leadership at the Federal Reserve. "The new Fed chair cannot destroy their reputation right at the beginning of their term," he said, suggesting that they may have no choice but to raise interest rates.