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Analysis: High Oil Prices Suppress Bitcoin Rebound, Market Remains Cautious

On March 20, Decrypt reported that Bitcoin briefly rose above $71,000 but has since retreated to around $70,547. This rebound occurred after U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen proposed measures to address soaring oil prices. Yellen stated that the U.S. is considering granting exemptions for certain sanctions on Iranian tankers already at sea and is further discussing the possibility of releasing strategic oil reserves. The previous day, Brent crude oil prices surged to $119 per barrel due to attacks on energy facilities in the Persian Gulf, which caused Bitcoin to drop below $70,000, triggering over $500 million in forced liquidations in the crypto market. Despite this, market participants remain vigilant. Analysts warn that if the critical chokepoint of global energy supply, the Strait of Hormuz, is blocked for an extended period, oil prices could rise further to $200 per barrel. GSR research analyst Carlos Guzman stated that Bitcoin's price movements are a second-order effect of rising energy prices: high energy prices may lead the Federal Reserve to maintain elevated interest rates for a longer period, and high rates are generally unfavorable for the crypto market, as a low-interest environment typically encourages investors to shift funds towards risk assets.

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