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Analysis: Trump Will Not Accept Iranian Control of the Strait or Seek Military Symbolic Victory Ahead of Midterms

On August 7, Robert Pape, a political science professor at the University of Chicago, further analyzed in an interview with Al Jazeera that given President Trump's fluctuating attitude since signing a memorandum of understanding with Iran on June 17, he would not accept any agreement that leads to joint control of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran and Oman. Pape stated, 'Trump's position will be inconsistent.' He added, 'I believe Trump can only accept Iranian and Omani control of the Strait for a day or two at most.' He also mentioned, 'With the midterm elections approaching, Trump needs a symbolic victory. This could mean occupying an island or establishing a foothold on the Iranian coastline. This is exactly the kind of symbolic victory that Trump can leverage in the midterm elections.' (Jinshi)

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