market news: Traders expect the cumulative rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of 2026 to be less than 75 basis points.
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Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by less than 75 basis points by the end of 2026.
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HSBC expects the Federal Reserve to refrain from cutting interest rates for the next two years.
HSBC Securities predicts the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates stable at the 3.5%-3.75% range set on Wednesday for the next two years. Previously, Federal Reserve policymakers lowered rates by 25 basis points with a split vote. The institution's U.S. economist Ryan Wang pointed out in a report on December 10 that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was "open to the question of whether and when to further cut rates at next year's FOMC press conference." "We believe the FOMC will keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% throughout 2026 and 2027, but as the economy evolves, as in the past, it is always necessary to pay close attention to the significant two-way risks facing this outlook." -
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Institutions: The US dollar may face further pressure next year, with AI bubble and interest rate outlook being key risks.
Benjamin Melman, CEO of asset management company Edmond de Rothschild, stated that the US dollar may face downside risks again next year. "If the market worries again about US interest rates or if the artificial intelligence bubble suddenly bursts, the US dollar will be at risk." With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, the US dollar has continued to weaken this year. The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently fell 0.05% to 98.59. In mid-September, the index hit a three-and-a-half-year low of 96.218. -
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