the US Dollar Index DXY fell below 98, hitting a 5-day low.
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The US dollar index (DXY) fell below 98, hitting a 5-day low.
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EMC Labs ·
Interest rate cut expectations are priced in at 75 basis points this year; BTC rises 3.77% this week; Altseason proceeds smoothly.
The market may experience fluctuations after next week's interest rate cut, but this will not change the medium- to long-term positive outlook.
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EMC Labs ·
How to cope with the BTC cycle under the heavy pressure of the cyclical "curse"? (October 13-19)
With the US-China trade war easing, BTC has once again fallen to the bull-bear dividing line, and the cyclical pattern is driving clear signs of a "top".
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EMC Labs ·
Multiple positive factors have combined to temporarily stabilize BTC, but the predicament remains unresolved (October 20-26).
Risk appetite has not yet improved, and funding in the crypto market remains extremely tight.
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EMC Labs ·
Passion is being curbed, and BTC is showing signs of a "bear market reversal".
With the resumption of interest rate cuts, BTC initiated a new round of gains, but the turmoil caused by the "reciprocal tariff war" black swan event stifled market enthusiasm, and "cyclical"
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EMC Labs ·
BTC has fallen to its technical limit, and the bull market is hanging by a thread (November 3-9).
The answer will be given within the next 1-2 weeks.
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EMC Labs ·
The Fed's hawkish stance triggered panic selling, pushing BTC into a technical bear market (November 10-17).
On the daily chart, the "bull-bear reversal" has been confirmed.
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EMC Labs ·
Beset by internal and external troubles, BTC has experienced a catastrophic crash, and a December interest rate cut may be the only turning point (November 17-23).
This week saw the largest loss since the beginning of the period, with the price of BTC remaining below the 360-day moving average for two consecutive weeks.
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Repricing + High Turnover: The Logic and Reflections on BTC's November Plunge
Short- to medium-term liquidity changes, coupled with internal dynamics, drove BTC to its second-largest monthly drop in this cycle in November.
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With the liquidity crisis resolved, BTC has entered a weak equilibrium, and the return of active buying power is key to breaking the deadlock (December 1st to December 7th).
A US rate cut in December is a foregone conclusion, but the "bear market crisis" for BTC is far from a liquidity test.
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EMC Labs ·
Supported by interest rate cuts and pressured by earnings reports, BTC continues to fluctuate within a narrow range (December 8th to December 14th).
BTC continues to move in tandem with the Nasdaq, awaiting the release of November's CPI and non-farm payroll data next week, as well as the impact of Japan's interest rate hike.
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