On April 4, Reuters reported, citing three sources, that a recent US intelligence report warns that Iran is unlikely to open the Strait of Hormuz in the short term. This strait is the world's most important oil transport route, and Iran's control over it is its only means of exerting real influence over the US. This finding suggests that Tehran may continue to block the strait to keep energy prices high, thereby pressuring President Trump to end the ongoing war, which has lasted nearly five weeks and lacks widespread support among the American public. The reports also provide updated information indicating that this war, aimed at weakening Iran's military power, may actually enhance its influence in the region, as it demonstrates Tehran's capability to threaten this critical waterway.
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