On June 10, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 98.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.8%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until July is 85.8%, with a 12.6% chance of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points and a 1.6% chance of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points.
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Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in June at 98.2% Before CPI Data Release
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US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Inflow of $85.82 Million Yesterday
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U.S. Bans Foreign Access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5; Anthropic Issues Detailed Rebuttal
On June 13, Anthropic issued a statement announcing that the U.S. government, citing national security powers, has released an export control directive requiring the suspension of all access to the AI models Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by foreign entities, regardless of whether the individuals are within the U.S., including Anthropic employees who are foreign nationals. The practical effect of this order is that we must immediately disable access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Anthropic models will not be affected. We received the government's directive at 5:21 PM (Eastern Time) today. The letter did not specify the details of its national security concerns. Our understanding is that the government believes it has become aware of a method to bypass or 'jailbreak' Fable 5. So far, the government has only provided us with verbal evidence suggesting the existence of a potential narrow, non-general jailbreak, essentially by requiring the model to read specific code libraries and fix any software defects. We are complying with the government's legitimate directive and are in the process of removing all users' access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5. However, we disagree with the conclusion that 'a narrow potential jailbreak vulnerability should be the reason to recall commercial models deployed to hundreds of millions of users.' (Jinshi) -
Iranian Foreign Minister: Iran-U.S. Memorandum of Understanding May Be Signed in Days
On June 13, Iranian media reported that Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated that once the final stage of negotiations between Iran and the U.S. is completed, the memorandum of understanding will be signed and announced immediately. The first phase will be signed electronically from a distance, "which may happen in the coming days." (Xinhua News Agency) -
U.S. Officials: U.S. and Iran Close to Agreement, Signing Expected in Coming Days
On June 13, Reuters reported that a senior U.S. official stated on Friday local time that the U.S. and Iran have not yet truly reached the finish line, but are very close to finalizing an agreement to resolve their conflicts. Washington expects to sign the agreement in the coming days. 'The negotiating team has put us in a very favorable position, but we still need to see, we haven't really reached the finish line, but we are very close,' the U.S. official said. The official noted that the agreed terms achieve a core goal of Trump. The memorandum of understanding includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the lifting of U.S. blockades on Iranian ports. Iran's highly enriched uranium will also be destroyed on-site and subsequently removed from the country. 'Iran will not gain anything from signing the memorandum or from the negotiations themselves,' the official said. 'They will receive economic rewards for fulfilling the obligations set forth in the agreement. Therefore, if they commit to handing over nuclear materials, they will gain something. If they dismantle their nuclear program or facilities, they will receive additional benefits.' -
Iran's Foreign Ministry: Iran is Reviewing Draft Memorandum of Understanding
On June 13, local time on the 12th, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei stated that Iran and the United States have reached an understanding on most issues, and Iran is currently in the final stages of compiling the text of the memorandum of understanding. Therefore, the previous statement by Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian that 'the two sides are very close to reaching an understanding' is accurate and noteworthy. Meetings of relevant decision-making bodies are ongoing, and this is a process that is being continuously advanced. To achieve a final and decisive outcome, consensus must be formed among decision-making bodies and relevant departments. Baghaei also mentioned that various speculations regarding the content of the agreement text have not been confirmed. Although specific details of the diplomatic process cannot be publicly discussed at this time, this does not mean that the public does not have the right to be informed. (CCTV News) -
SpaceX Opens at $150 on First Day of Trading, IPO Price Set at $135
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Iranian Foreign Minister Claims Iran and US 'Have Never Been Closer' to Memorandum of Understanding
On June 12, Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated on social media that Iran and the US 'have never been closer' to reaching a memorandum of understanding. He urged the media to refrain from speculating on its contents before finalization. The Iranian side will disclose all details in due course. (CCTV News) -
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ARM Soars Nearly 10%, Bank of America Predicts Server CPU Market to Quadruple by 2030
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