On April 18, Polymarket launched a new market for 'Anthropic's Next Funding Deadline,' currently reporting a 22% probability before the end of June and an 81% probability before the end of December. The event contract rules state that if the specified company publicly and officially announces the completion of its next funding round by the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will be settled as 'yes.' Otherwise, it will be settled as 'no.' A qualifying announcement must clearly confirm that the new funding round has been completed, which can be done through official announcements from the specified company (such as press releases), its investors, regulatory filings, or consensus from credible media reports. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks do not qualify. If the specified company is unable to complete the new funding round due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by another entity, the market will be settled as 'no.' The primary settlement sources for this market will be the official announcements from the specified company, as well as official documents such as SEC filings; however, credible consensus reporting may also be used.
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