12:00-21:00 Keywords: election, ETH/BTC, Polymarket, Trump

1. The landing schedule of the past 7 US presidential elections shows that results were announced on the night of 3-4 times;

2. Pre-election "closing" polls show that Harris leads Trump by 4 percentage points;

3. US election prediction agency: the Democratic Party will win the House of Representatives with a one-vote advantage;

4. QCP Capital: Bitcoin's volatility on election night is expected to be about 3.5%, and the market may underestimate the risks after the election;

5. Trump's media technology group (DJT.O) rose more than 8% before the market opened;

6. The probability of Trump winning on Polymarket has risen to 61.5%;

7. Musk: Trump will win Pennsylvania by about 500,000 votes.