On March 27, according to CME FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 6.2%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 93.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising interest rates by 25 basis points by June is 19.9%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point increase is 1.0%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 79.2%.
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Fed Rate Unchanged in April Probability at 93.8%
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GameStop Did Not Sell Its 4,709 Bitcoin Holdings
On March 27, GameStop disclosed on Tuesday that it had pledged nearly all of its Bitcoin holdings as collateral with Coinbase in January for a covered call strategy, ending two months of speculation about whether it had sold the cryptocurrency. In its 10-K annual report filed with the U.S. SEC, the video game retailer stated that it had pledged 4,709 Bitcoin, representing almost its entire holdings, in an agreement with Coinbase Credit and utilized this position to sell call options. This filing clarifies market speculation from January, when on-chain analysts observed GameStop transferring all its Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime, leading to assumptions that it might be preparing for a liquidation. With Bitcoin down 45% from its all-time high, Bitcoin asset reserve models have faced pressure in recent months, and some analysts questioned the sustainability of a "buy and hold" strategy last year. This move indicates GameStop's attempt to generate yield by selling short-term call options with strike prices between $105,000 and $110,000, which are set to expire this Friday. The disclosure shows the company has $2.3 million in unrealized gains and $700,000 in liabilities related to these options on its books, with some covered call contracts having expired in January without being exercised. The covered call strategy allows GameStop to sell call options, giving the buyer the right to purchase its Bitcoin at a fixed price; if the options are not exercised, the company can keep the option premiums and retain its Bitcoin holdings. -
Fed Governor Barr: Waller Fully Qualified for Fed Chair Role, Knows Fed Well
March 27, Fed Governor Barr: Waller is fully qualified to serve as Federal Reserve Chairman, and he is very familiar with the Federal Reserve. (JIN10) -
Traders Bet on Potential Fed Rate Hike Amid Iran Tensions
Bond traders are seeking protection against the worst-case war scenario stemming from potential escalation in the Iran conflict, betting that the Federal Reserve might be forced to raise interest rates in the coming weeks. Demand has emerged in the options market tracking Fed policy for bets tied to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) that anticipate a rate hike as early as two weeks from now. These trades would profit if the bond market significantly repricing expectations for a rate hike before the Fed's policy meeting on April 29. This surge in demand for emergency rate hike hedges marks a sharp reversal in market sentiment. Just a month ago, the market was pricing in as many as three 25-basis-point rate cuts by the end of the year. Since the conflict began on February 28, swap market traders have begun pricing in about a 50% chance of a rate hike by December, putting short-term Treasury bills at risk of further repricing. Jeff Schuh, head of rates at Constitution Capital, stated that while the latest bets don't reflect the market's base case scenario, they do signal growing concern that rapidly rising inflation could put investors who have been long Treasuries in recent months at risk. Schuh noted that traders have been unwinding large long positions in Treasury futures as soaring oil prices fuel renewed inflation fears. The sell-off in SOFR futures and the upward move across the entire Treasury yield curve have caught many large funds off guard. He pointed out that such trades are a "cheap hedge that makes liquidation risk look more manageable in 90% of cases." -
David Sacks Steps Down as White House Crypto Lead, Key Legislation Pending
On March 27th, David Sacks will step down as the White House Lead for Artificial Intelligence and Crypto Affairs, concluding a brief but impactful tenure on U.S. digital asset policy, with several significant legislative efforts remaining unfinished. In an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday, he stated that his term officially ends due to reaching the 130-day limit for special government employees. However, he will continue to be involved in government affairs, serving as co-chair of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, where he will advise on broader technology issues. During his time at the White House, Sacks played a central role in shaping the Donald Trump administration's crypto policies, including advocating for legislation related to market structure and stablecoins, as well as supporting the establishment of a strategic U.S. Bitcoin reserve. He also championed clearer regulatory rules for digital assets and, like many within the Trump camp, criticized the Joe Biden administration's previous regulatory approach for its over-reliance on enforcement. -
BTC Falls Below $69,000
Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $69,000, currently priced at $68,957.23, with a 24-hour decline of 2.68%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management. -
President Trump: We Are Destroying Iran
President Trump: We are destroying Iran. It is Iran that is begging for a deal, not me. Everyone knows that Iran is negotiating with us. (Jinshi) -
Iran Delivers Response to US 15-Point Proposal Via Intermediary
On March 26th, according to Iranian media reports, Iran's response to the United States' 15-point proposal was officially delivered last night through an intermediary. (Jins10) -
Turkey's Weekly Gold Sales Hit Highest Since 2018
March 26th news: Data shows that as of the week ending March 20th, Turkey's central bank gold reserves fell from 820.8 tons to 771.8 tons. Banking sources stated that this marks the largest weekly decline in the Turkish central bank's gold reserves since August 2018, with approximately 22 tons of gold sold last week. In addition to selling gold, the Turkish central bank also conducted gold swap transactions totaling about 31 tons last week. (Jingshi) -
Bitcoin Miner MARA Sells 15,133 BTC
On March 26th, Bitcoin mining company MARA announced the repurchase of $1 billion in convertible senior notes. The repurchases of the 2030 and 2031 notes are expected to be completed on March 30, 2026, and March 31, 2026, respectively, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions. The note repurchase transactions are anticipated to generate approximately $88.1 million in value for the company through cash savings. The company also announced today that it sold 15,133 bitcoins between March 4, 2026, and March 25, 2026, for a total transaction price of approximately $1.1 billion. The proceeds from the bitcoin sales are expected to be used for the note repurchase transactions, with the remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes. -
Fannie Mae to Accept Cryptocurrency-Backed Mortgages
On March 26, according to The Wall Street Journal, Fannie Mae, a "super giant" in the U.S. housing mortgage market, will for the first time accept home loans backed by cryptocurrency assets.
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