On April 7, according to Iran's Mehr News Agency, explosions were heard at Khark Island, Iran's oil export hub, although the source of the explosions has not been specified. According to monitoring by PolyBeats, in the Polymarket related to "When will Khark Island be out of Iranian control," the probability before April 15 is 7%, before April 30 is 16%, and before May 31 is 24%, with no changes in the short-term probabilities.
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