Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

CNBC: Warsh Expected to Hold Rates Steady This Week, Reform Plans and Political Factors May Delay Rate Hike

July 29 — According to CNBC, most market observers expect Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to leave interest rates unchanged at this week's FOMC meeting. Former bank analyst Meredith Whitney also noted that U.S. consumers are facing rising energy costs and a slowdown in credit card spending, adding that the Fed still has time to monitor economic developments. The report said that despite ongoing market concerns over inflationary pressures, Warsh prefers to wait for more data. He previously stated that rising energy prices are a supply shock and should not automatically trigger monetary policy adjustments, and he believes that cost increases stemming from AI investments may not necessarily evolve into persistent inflation. Additionally, Warsh has recently established multiple external expert working groups to drive reforms in the Fed's policy framework, inflation assessment, and balance sheet. Analysts believe that a premature rate hike before these reforms are completed could weaken his room for policy adjustments, while political pressure from the Trump administration's continuous calls for rate cuts also makes it more likely that Warsh will keep rates unchanged and continue to deliver hawkish signals to retain flexibility for future policy.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Amazon Shares Surge 15.2%, Biggest Gain Since 2012

    On July 31, Amazon shares surged 15.2% to $271.255 per share, marking their biggest gain since 2012, with a total market value of $2.92 trillion.
  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent Vows to Track Down Iranian Assets Globally for Terror Victims

    US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US will actively track down Iranian assets worldwide to ensure compensation funds for victims of Iran-backed terrorist activities. Bessent stated that the US government's military and economic blockade measures against the Iranian regime will continue and will not be relaxed. (Jinshi)
  • Apple Plunges Nearly 10%, Q4 Revenue Guidance Misses Expectations

    On July 31, Apple (AAPL.US) plunged nearly 10% to $300.33, marking its biggest drop since April 2025. In terms of fundamentals, Apple's third-fiscal-quarter revenue rose approximately 16% year-over-year to $109.42 billion, slightly above analyst expectations. Among the details, product revenue came in at $78.68 billion, beating the expected $77.25 billion. However, services revenue—a key driver of its valuation re-rating in recent years—totaled $30.74 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $31.36 billion. Additionally, Greater China revenue reached $18.82 billion, with year-over-year growth slowing to 22%, also below analysts' forecast of $19.58 billion. During the earnings call, Apple guided fourth-fiscal-quarter revenue growth in the range of 9% to 11%, overall below the 12.1% analysts had expected. CFO Parekh noted that component supply constraints would impact iPhone, Mac, and iPad businesses in the fourth fiscal quarter, with currency fluctuations also constraining growth.
  • Three Fed Officials Back Rate Hike, Hawkish Pressure Builds

    On July 31, three Federal Reserve policymakers said that dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike this week stemmed from stubborn inflationary pressures, highlighting rising internal pressure on Fed Chair Warsh to act. In statements released Friday morning, Hammack and Kashkari said they worry that although the current round of price increases may stem from short-term factors such as President Trump's tariff policies and the Iran war, the inflation situation already warrants Fed action. Logan also joined in, saying that even if inflation cools, if the Fed does not raise rates, inflation is unlikely to fully fall back to the Fed's 2% target; without any policy constraints, inflation could continue to run above target until an unexpected shock occurs. Kashkari said that if inflation remains persistently stubborn, he might support a series of rate hikes, not just a single increase, to prevent inflation from becoming further entrenched. He said: "A series of small policy adjustments may be preferable to waiting for developments to unfold and ultimately having to take more forceful action." Hammack said that if the Fed does not tighten policy, price increases could continue to accelerate. She said: "Inflation has been stubbornly above 2% for more than five years, and I have no confidence that it will return to our target on its own." (Jin Shi)
  • US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.7388%, Highest Since January 2025

    On July 31, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.7388%, the highest level since January 2025.
  • Spot Gold Intraday Decline Widens to 2%, at $4,021.08 per Ounce

    On July 31, spot gold's intraday decline widened to 2%, reported at $4,021.08 per ounce.
  • BTC Falls Below $63,000

    Market数据显示,BTC has fallen below $63,000, currently reported at $62,985.99, with a 24-hour decline of 2.99%. Market volatility is significant, please exercise risk control.
  • Fed's Logan: Leaning Toward 25 Basis Point Rate Hike

    On July 31, Federal Reserve Governor Logan said she leans toward a 25 basis point rate hike, believing inflation has not yet entered a sustainable path back to the Fed's 2% target. Logan stated that taking moderate action now would reduce the risk of needing more aggressive tightening in the future, while emphasizing that the Fed cannot rely on unexpected shocks to achieve its inflation target.