On December 18th, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom Chief Investment Officer Arthur Hayes stated at the end of his latest article that the cryptocurrency market will experience a painful crash around January 20th, 2025, before entering the collapse stage of the bull market. Maelstrom (Arthur Hayes' fund) will reduce some positions in advance and hope to buy back at a lower price at some point in the first half of 2025. Arthur Hayes added, "If the market forcibly breaks through around January 20th, we will also admit our prediction error and get back on board after licking our wounds."
Welcome Back
Click “Sign in” to agree to Cointime’s Terms of Service and acknowledge that Cointime’s Privacy Policy applies to you.
Join CoinTime
Already have an account?
Click “page.Sign up” to agree to Cointime’s <a class="underline" href="#term-of-service">Terms of Service</a> and acknowledge that Cointime’s a class="underline" href="#privacy-policy">Privacy Policy</a> applies to you.
Sign in with email
Sign up with email
Your email
Check your inbox
Click the link we sent to to sign in.
Click the link we sent to to sign up.
Arthur Hayes: The market is expected to plummet around January 20, and Maelstrom will reduce its position in advance
-
Wechat scan to share
Recommended for you
-
-
-
Amazon Shares Surge 15.2%, Biggest Gain Since 2012
On July 31, Amazon shares surged 15.2% to $271.255 per share, marking their biggest gain since 2012, with a total market value of $2.92 trillion. -
US Treasury Secretary Bessent Vows to Track Down Iranian Assets Globally for Terror Victims
US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US will actively track down Iranian assets worldwide to ensure compensation funds for victims of Iran-backed terrorist activities. Bessent stated that the US government's military and economic blockade measures against the Iranian regime will continue and will not be relaxed. (Jinshi) -
Apple Plunges Nearly 10%, Q4 Revenue Guidance Misses Expectations
On July 31, Apple (AAPL.US) plunged nearly 10% to $300.33, marking its biggest drop since April 2025. In terms of fundamentals, Apple's third-fiscal-quarter revenue rose approximately 16% year-over-year to $109.42 billion, slightly above analyst expectations. Among the details, product revenue came in at $78.68 billion, beating the expected $77.25 billion. However, services revenue—a key driver of its valuation re-rating in recent years—totaled $30.74 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $31.36 billion. Additionally, Greater China revenue reached $18.82 billion, with year-over-year growth slowing to 22%, also below analysts' forecast of $19.58 billion. During the earnings call, Apple guided fourth-fiscal-quarter revenue growth in the range of 9% to 11%, overall below the 12.1% analysts had expected. CFO Parekh noted that component supply constraints would impact iPhone, Mac, and iPad businesses in the fourth fiscal quarter, with currency fluctuations also constraining growth. -
Three Fed Officials Back Rate Hike, Hawkish Pressure Builds
On July 31, three Federal Reserve policymakers said that dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike this week stemmed from stubborn inflationary pressures, highlighting rising internal pressure on Fed Chair Warsh to act. In statements released Friday morning, Hammack and Kashkari said they worry that although the current round of price increases may stem from short-term factors such as President Trump's tariff policies and the Iran war, the inflation situation already warrants Fed action. Logan also joined in, saying that even if inflation cools, if the Fed does not raise rates, inflation is unlikely to fully fall back to the Fed's 2% target; without any policy constraints, inflation could continue to run above target until an unexpected shock occurs. Kashkari said that if inflation remains persistently stubborn, he might support a series of rate hikes, not just a single increase, to prevent inflation from becoming further entrenched. He said: "A series of small policy adjustments may be preferable to waiting for developments to unfold and ultimately having to take more forceful action." Hammack said that if the Fed does not tighten policy, price increases could continue to accelerate. She said: "Inflation has been stubbornly above 2% for more than five years, and I have no confidence that it will return to our target on its own." (Jin Shi) -
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.7388%, Highest Since January 2025
On July 31, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.7388%, the highest level since January 2025. -
Spot Gold Intraday Decline Widens to 2%, at $4,021.08 per Ounce
On July 31, spot gold's intraday decline widened to 2%, reported at $4,021.08 per ounce. -
BTC Falls Below $63,000
Market数据显示，BTC has fallen below $63,000, currently reported at $62,985.99, with a 24-hour decline of 2.99%. Market volatility is significant, please exercise risk control. -
Fed's Logan: Leaning Toward 25 Basis Point Rate Hike
On July 31, Federal Reserve Governor Logan said she leans toward a 25 basis point rate hike, believing inflation has not yet entered a sustainable path back to the Fed's 2% target. Logan stated that taking moderate action now would reduce the risk of needing more aggressive tightening in the future, while emphasizing that the Fed cannot rely on unexpected shocks to achieve its inflation target.
Daily Must-Read
-
KeyFlow: Connecting UniKey, AI Agents, and the KEY Value System, Turning Intelligent Services from “Being Called” into “Sustainable Flow”
-
The AI Universe Gateway Is About to Open: KeyFlow Official DApp to Launch Global Public Beta and Genesis Registration on July 29
-
The Invisible Bill: Unpacking the Token Amplification Effect
-
ENI Takes the Stage at WebX Japan and Builds a Bridge from Traditional Capital to the Future Economy
-
GWDC 2026 KOREA: The New Asian Paradigm of Web3 & AI Sets to Debut in Seoul on Sept 29-30, Inviting Global Builders to the Ultimate Developer Summit
-
From User Journey to Consumption Loop: Understanding UniKey’s Product Logic and the Three Core Use Cases of KEY
All Comments