Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Bitcoin nears $120K as analysis predicts 'larger price swings' next

Key points:

  • Bitcoin stages a late comeback into the weekly close as price approaches important liquidation zones.
  • Traders and analysts emphasize various key price points to reclaim next.
  • Volatility is expected based on large-volume trading behavior, analysis reports.

Bitcoin surged above $119,000 Sunday as bulls extended a rebound from two-week lows.

  BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price volatility returns into weekly close

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD approaching a key reclaim area.

Now attempting a daily close above its 10-day simple moving average, the pair held onto a rebound from near $114,500 as the market forgot one of the largest-ever BTC sales.

The uptick came amid news that the US and China had agreed to further delay the introduction of reciprocal trade tariffs.

Market participants thus focused on the key levels to look for going into the new week.

“$BTC needs to break above $119.5K for a big move. If that doesn't happen, this consolidation will continue,” crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows summarized in a post on X. 

“I think BTC could break above this level next month which will start the next leg up.”

  BTC/USDT 4-hour chart with RSI data. Source: Ted Pillows/X

Popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital eyed a slightly higher range ceiling just below the $120,000 mark.

“Bitcoin has Daily Closed above the blue Range Low, kickstarting a break back into the very briefly lost Range,” he told X followers alongside a print of the daily BTC/USD chart.

“Any dips into the Range Low (confluent with the new Higher Low) would be a retest attempt to confirm the reclaim.”

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Others warned that price could still fill the daily downside wick left by the trip to $114,500.

In an X thread on the topic, fellow trader CrypNuevo identified a downside target confluent with an area of exchange order-book liquidity.

“If we zoom out, we can see that the main liquidation level is at $113.8k,” he commented. 

“Consequently, I consider the downside liquidation cluster to be the natural target in the mid-term ($114.5k-$113.6k).”

Analyst sees “larger price swings” next

The latest data from monitoring resource CoinGlass meanwhile puts the “max pain” for BTC shorts at around $119,650.

Should Bitcoin return to challenge all-time highs near $123,000, short liquidations would total over $1.1 billion.

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“Strong resistance forming around 119,000–120,000, indicated by dense liquidation clusters,” crypto analysis platform Coinank agreed while examining its own liquidity data.

Analyst TheKingfisher additionally warned of heightened volatility on short timeframes.

“Seeing predominantly red on the BTC GEX+ chart. This indicates dealers are heavily short gamma, suggesting they may amplify volatility to hedge their positions,” he reported on X Sunday. 

“Expect potentially larger price swings in the near term. Monitor these shifts closely.”

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • U.S. Government-Related Wallet Deposits 17,733 BTC and 750 WBTC to Coinbase Prime

    On October 9, according to monitoring by Lookonchain, wallets associated with the U.S. government have deposited 17,733 BTC (worth $1.48 billion) and 750 WBTC (worth $62 million) into Coinbase Prime over the past three days. According to tagging data from Arkham, these wallets currently hold cryptocurrency assets valued at $25.4 billion, with Bitcoin alone valued at $25.3 billion.

  • ETH Falls Below $2500

    Market data shows that ETH has fallen below $2500, currently priced at $2499.87, with a 24-hour decline of 2.55%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • ETH Surpasses $2500

    Market data shows that ETH has surpassed $2500, currently priced at $2500.13, with a 24-hour decline of 2.21%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Surpasses $82,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $82,000, currently priced at $82,002.01, with a 24-hour decline of 1.47%. The market is highly volatile, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • Fed's Musalem: Further Tightening of Monetary Policy Needed to Bring Inflation Back to Target; Rates Should Be Raised in Next 6 to 9 Months

    On October 9, Fed's Musalem stated that further tightening of monetary policy is necessary to bring inflation back to target, and interest rates should be raised in the next 6 to 9 months. The economy is currently quite strong, and the best thing the Fed can do is to lower inflation; market inflation expectations remain stable, and there has been no indication of a loss of credibility for the Fed.

  • BTC Falls Below $81,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $81,000, currently priced at $80,979.57, with a 24-hour decline of 2.79%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • ETH Falls Below $2500

    Market data shows that ETH has fallen below $2500, currently priced at $2499.36, with a 24-hour decline of 2.59%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • U.S. Government Transfers 12,267 BTC Worth Approximately $1.01 Billion

    According to Arkham and on-chain data, at 21:33 Beijing time on October 8, an address marked 'U.S. Government: Seized Funds from Bitfinex Hacker' transferred 12,267.02 BTC (approximately $1.01 billion). Subsequently, 6,000 BTC were sent in two transactions to a new address 33pYK…cFk, while the remaining approximately 6,267 BTC are temporarily held in another new address. In the previous two days, related addresses of the U.S. government had transferred over 6,200 BTC to Coinbase Prime.

  • Reports Indicate Trump Purchased Up to $25 Million in Meta Stock

    On October 8, reports emerged that U.S. President Trump purchased up to $25 million in Meta stock.

  • Tencent Plans to Issue Offshore Bonds to Raise $5 Billion for AI Business Development

    According to Bloomberg, sources reveal that Tencent Holdings is considering issuing offshore bonds to raise $5 billion to meet the funding demands arising from its artificial intelligence business expansion. The bonds may be denominated in US dollars and offshore renminbi, with issuance potentially occurring as early as this month. Analysts believe that in recent years, as the demand for AI infrastructure and computing power has increased, global tech companies have turned to bond financing to raise funds. This fundraising plan is still in the discussion phase, and the final scale and timing of the issuance have yet to be determined.