The US military has launched strikes against Iran for five consecutive days, aiming to weaken its attack capabilities in the critical Strait of Hormuz. Trump has threatened to bomb Iranian power plants and bridges next week if an agreement is not reached; Tehran has warned that if the US continues its attacks, the conflict will escalate. Dr. Faramarz Farahani, an international politics lecturer at Cambridge University, stated that the White House will soon have to return to the negotiation table, especially with the US midterm elections approaching. She pointed out that Iran is eager for negotiations, with the door open, and noted that the Iranian economy was already 'quite bad' before the conflict erupted. However, she added that Iran has completely lost trust in the US. From Iran's perspective, the US has once again withdrawn from a memorandum of understanding, similar to Trump's withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal during his first term. Earlier this year, after launching strikes against Iran in conjunction with Israel, Trump reached a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, in which both sides committed to achieving a permanent ceasefire within 60 days. However, the ceasefire quickly broke down—Iran attacked ships it accused of attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without permission, while the US responded with escalating strikes. Farahani hinted that this war is difficult to sustain. She stated that Iran's economic situation is undoubtedly forcing them to the negotiation table. Similarly, if oil prices, inflation, and fertilizer prices rise, it will also compel the US to return to negotiations. After all, Trump is facing midterm elections, and this issue is crucial for his political legacy, regardless of other factors.
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