Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

ByteDance Trader Earns 30 Million: CPI and Non-Farm Data Are Not Market Noise

On July 5, Leto Bao, the protagonist of "ByteDance Trader Earns 30 Million," reviewed his journey of making 30 million in the U.S. stock market at Binance Square. He stated that CPI, non-farm payrolls, and Federal Reserve policies are macroeconomic factors, while earnings season reflects the performance of specific companies or industries and also indicates changes in the macroeconomy. Leto Bao noted that the CPI price index is one of the key indicators monitored by the Federal Reserve. A high CPI typically indicates significant inflationary pressure, while a low CPI may reflect deflationary pressure. The Federal Reserve's long-term goal is to maintain inflation around 2%, representing a moderate inflation environment, which implies slow currency depreciation and relatively healthy investment, consumption, and credit activities. Non-farm data also influences market judgments. There is a certain correlation between overheating employment and inflation, but the relationships among macroeconomic indicators are complex and not simply linear. The Federal Reserve is responsible for formulating economic policies related to interest rates and adjusts these policies to support the U.S. economy. Leto Bao believes that CPI, non-farm data, Federal Reserve policies, and earnings seasons should not be viewed merely as "noise"; they all hold significant reference value. He mentioned that he previously overlooked the interest rate hike environment when investing in Nvidia, resulting in a substantial account drawdown, thus emphasizing the need to consider macroeconomic factors in investment decisions. Leto Bao, a former employee of ByteDance, is known as the "ByteDance Stock Trader." He reportedly made approximately 30 million RMB in profits by investing in the AI storage sector and subsequently resigned. The story began when he noticed an unusual price increase while buying hard drives on Pinduoduo, prompting him to research data storage demand and heavily invest in related stocks.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • BTC Falls Below $82,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $82,000, currently priced at $81,991.88, with a 24-hour decline of 2.05%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • BTC Falls Below $82,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $82,000, currently priced at $81,993.15, with a 24-hour decline of 2.08%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.
  • Fed's Harker: Interest Rates Need Further Increases

    On October 13, Federal Reserve's Harker stated that interest rates need to be raised further; he favors smaller increments with more frequent hikes; the current policy is not restrictive enough; the pace of inflation returning to target is too slow, and the risks of high inflation are still rising.
  • Fed Rate Hike Expectations Impact Mortgage Bond Market, Bank Demand May Further Weaken

    On October 12, according to Jinshi News, investors have been withdrawing from U.S. mortgage bond funds at a historically unprecedented pace over the past three weeks, with the outflows ranking among the seven most severe since early 2021. As interest rates soar, investors are seeking to avoid market volatility risks. The U.S. mortgage-backed securities index recorded its second-worst monthly performance on record in September. Previously, U.S. Treasury yields surged to decades-high levels due to rising oil prices, heightened inflation concerns, and market expectations of a Fed rate hike, triggering a sell-off in mortgage bonds. MBS are highly sensitive to sudden fluctuations in bond yields, as yields serve as the pricing benchmark for borrowing costs across the entire economic system. When interest rates rise, homeowners typically stop refinancing their mortgages, leading investors to hold low-yield securities for longer than previously expected. Strategist Erica Adelberg noted that the Fed's tightening of monetary policy and the flattening yield curve could weaken demand from banks, a significant buyer of MBS. On the positive side, as mortgage rates reach their highest levels since 2023, refinancing and home-buying demand may be suppressed, potentially slowing the growth of home prices and loan volumes. MBS supply is expected to decline before the end of the year.
  • WTI Crude Oil Surpasses $94

    On October 12, WTI crude oil surpassed $94 per barrel, increasing by 2.35% during the day.
  • Kazakhstan Begins Selling Gold After Rise in US Treasury Yields

    Market news: Kazakhstan has started selling gold following the increase in US Treasury yields.
  • OpenAI May Revive Sora Video Model, In Talks with AI Video Startup

    On October 12, The Information reported that OpenAI is exploring the possibility of re-launching the Sora video generation model and is in discussions with a stealth startup focused on AI video technology for filmmaking. The report noted that OpenAI had previously paused the development of the Sora model and its accompanying TikTok-like video application as part of a plan to cut high server consumption 'side projects.' Meanwhile, competitors like xAI and Google continue to advance AI video generation technology.
  • Hua Xia Fund: Some ETFs Participate in Yu Xin Semiconductor Subscription, Risk Warning Issued

    On October 12, Hua Xia Fund Management Co., Ltd. announced that Yu Xin Semiconductor will be listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market on October 13, 2026. Some of the company's ETFs participated in the online/offline subscription for this issuance, valuing the stock at an issue price of 12.01 yuan per share before its listing. There will be no price fluctuation limits for the first five trading days after the listing. On the first day of listing, the IOPV of the related ETFs will only reflect the issue price and not account for stock price fluctuations, which may result in differences from the net asset value of the fund shares on that day. Investors are advised to pay attention to investment risks.
  • U.S. Stock Market: Storage Stocks Decline Further, SanDisk Drops Nearly 7%, Micron Technology Falls Over 4%

    On October 12, U.S. storage stocks saw an expanded decline, with SanDisk falling by 6.74%, Micron ADR down by 6.08%, Micron Technology dropping by 4.31%, SK Hynix decreasing by 4.09%, Seagate Technology down by 2.85%, and Western Digital falling by 2.15%.
  • Bitcoin ETF Sees Daily Net Inflow of 127 BTC, Ethereum ETF Experiences Net Outflow of 25,400 ETH

    On October 12, the Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net inflow of 127 BTC, valued at $10.49 million, with a net outflow of 8,538 BTC over the past week, amounting to $704 million. Meanwhile, the Ethereum ETF experienced a daily net outflow of 25,400 ETH, valued at $6.422 million, and a weekly net outflow of 208,600 ETH, worth $526 million.