Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

ON–186: Stablecoins Mega Issue

Original Author: Spencer Noon
Original Link: https://ournetwork.substack.com/p/ournetwork-issue-186
All rights belong to the original author. If there are any copyright concerns, please contact for removal.


Stablecoins 💰

👥 Ethan Chan | Website | Dashboard

📈 Tron ($590B) surpasses Ethereum ($478B) in single directional stablecoin volume in August

  • On-chain stablecoin volume has remained steady for the past 6 months, with Tether remaining dominant with $822B in (single directional) volume in August, with USDC remaining in 2nd place with $292B in volume, and DAI being a distant third at $23B. Note: Single Directional Volume is an approach to reduce the double-counting observed when used "total_volume". This approach constructs a graph of transfers between each address involved in a transaction and uses the largest amount transferred from/to a wallet as the volume for that transaction.

Source: Allium

  • In the month of August, USDT did 1.1B transactions with USDC at a distant second with 79M transactions. The data suggests a much smaller average transaction size on USDT versus USDC, reflective of the different regions each stablecoin serves.

Source: Allium

  • Stablecoin usage on Tron ($590B) continues to have strong (single directional) volume when measured against Ethereum ($478B).

Source: Allium

② Curve Finance 🌈

👥 nagaking | Website | Dashboard

📈crvUSD maintains $115M supply, provides 25%+ of Curve profits

  • After launching in May 2023, crvUSD supply has grown to >$100M, maintaining a steady supply of ~$115M through September. crvUSD is minted against crypto collateral and uses an AMM to manage collateral composition, enabling gradual "soft" liquidation and de-liquidation as prices change. wstETH remains the most used collateral (55M crvUSD), followed by wBTC (35M), sfrxETH (11M), wETH (5M), and tBTC (2M). crvUSD continues to hold a tight peg against USD, deviating <$0.001 over 55% of the time.

Source: curvemonitor.com; CoinGecko API; Curve Research

  • crvUSD fees have become a significant source of revenue for Curve Finance. crvUSD borrowers pay a variable rate for the duration of their loan, averaging 3-5% annualized. Over the last 4 weeks, crvUSD fees have accounted for 25.6% of Curve DAO's total revenue ($328k of $1.227M).

Source: curvemonitor.com

  • In addition to AMM-based collateral management and dynamic interest rates, crvUSD uses multiple "peg keepers" to stabilize its value. Peg keepers mint or burn crvUSD to stabilize its price versus other stablecoins. By doing so, peg keepers also earn revenue for the DAO, currently totalling ~$77k.

Source: Curve Research

💦🔬 Tx-Level Alpha: Here, a user deposits 132.8 wBTC (~$3.6M) to borrow 1.7m crvUSD, adding to their 700k crvUSD borrow, collateralized by 796 wstETH ($~1.5M). These large positions have soft liquidation ranges of $13.5k-15k (wBTC) and $928-1k, minimizing the risk of even the most vicious spikes down.

③ MakerDAO 💫

👥 Vishesh | Website | Dashboard

📈 Dai supply reverses decline and crosses back over 5B

  • Over the past couple of years, the Dai supply has been largely falling. In August 2023, it fell to ~4.4B. It has since grown to ~5.5B. This turnaround coincided perfectly with the change to the Enhanced Dai Savings Rate (ESDR). The EDSR resulted in a savings rate of ~8% on the newly launched Spark Protocol. The rate has since equalized back down to ~5%. MKR price increased 25% in the same time frame. Simultaneously, the Dai surplus fell 22% to the intended buffer of 50m Dai.

Source: makerburn.com

  • Dai in the DSR increased by ~1.3B (380%) since August 2023. The initial spike coincided with the 8% EDSR rate increase and a small dip of ~360M Dai (24%) occurred around the reduction to a 5% EDSR rate. This means that ~30% of all Dai are currently in the DSR.

Source: makerburn.com

  • Out of the ~5.5B Dai supply, ~3.1B (56%) are minted against Real World Asset vaults. The top 3 RWA vaults are Monetalis at 1.25B (generating 4% fees), BlockTower (4.5%) at ~1.28B, and Coinbase Custody (3%) at 500M. 121M of Maker's 195M projected annualized profit comes from RWA vaults.

Source: makerburn.com

④ Aave GHO 👻

👥 Jack Stewart | Website | Dashboard

📈 GHO stablecoin sits at $22M in supply

  • Since July 16th, the GHO stablecoin—which is pegged to the US dollar—experienced a notable uptick in its supply, reaching its peak of over 23M at the end of August. As of September 28th, the supply has slightly pulled back to 22M. During this time frame, a total of 55.4M GHO tokens have been minted, while 32.6M tokens have been burned. The current 22M supply represents a fraction of Aave's Total Value Locked (TVL) of $4.62B. This disparity not only emphasizes the fluctuating nature of GHO's supply but also underscores its potential for growth within the broader financial landscape.

Source: Flipside Crypto - @jackguy

  • Among 541 GHO token holders, 483 possess less than 2.5k tokens, while 25 command over 100k. The average holder's stake is 42.1k GHO, but the median sits at 22 GHO. This breakdown reveals a diverse distribution pattern in the GHO small community of holders.

Source: Flipside Crypto - @jackguy

  • Since August, GHO token's swap activity has seen a decline, dropping from 1M-3M daily to a current 200k - 1.5M. Interestingly, daily swappers range between 20 and 60, indicating that a limited group handles this substantial volume, highlighting concentrated trading activity.

Source: Flipside Crypto - @jackguy

💦🔬 Tx-Level Alpha: In this transaction, the stablecoin GHO is minted within Aave when borrowed against collateral. With the minting, the borrower receives a debt token. To settle this, the GHO is returned to Aave, allowing collateral retrieval. However, if the collateral's value significantly drops compared to the borrowed amount, it risks liquidation. This system upholds GHO’s peg, as collateral in Aave consistently backs the GHO supply.

⑤ Tether 🍐

👥 Henry Child | Website | Dashboard

📈 Tether’s market cap up +22% in the last year

  • 2023 has been tough year for crypto, yet USDT is thriving with a market cap of $83.28B, which is up +22% in the last year and represents 66% of the stablecoin market share.

Source: Messari.io (powered by DefiLlama)

  • The number of wallets holding USDT on Tron increased 94% YTD, from 15.65m to 30.35m; on Ethereum, the number of wallets increased 60% YTD. USDT monetary base hit ATH earlier this year.

Source: TRONSCAN

  • Approximately 45B USDT held by leading CEXs. Over 40B USDT sits non-crypto platforms, suggesting mass market adoption is driving demand for USDT.

Source: TRONSCAN

💦🔬 Tx-Level Alpha: Tron is the chain of choice for mass market usage. 48.9% of all USDt-Tron is held outside of the top 500 accounts, showing increasing widespread distribution of USDT.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • US Dollar Index Rises Briefly After October CPI Data Release, US Stock Futures Dip

    The US Dollar Index briefly rose by about 20 points, currently reported at 102.02. US stock futures dipped shortly after, with the Nasdaq 100 index futures falling nearly 1%. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond briefly increased, currently reported at 4.901%; the yields on US 2 to 5-year Treasury bonds rose by at least 10 basis points on the day. Spot gold briefly fell by about $30, currently reported at $4049.50 per ounce. Traders maintained a 100% expectation for a rate hike in December following the release of consumer inflation data.

  • Traders Increase Bets on 50 Basis Point Rate Hike by the Federal Reserve Next Month

    On November 10, news emerged that traders have increased their bets on a 50 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve next month.

  • Houthi Forces to Issue Important Statement

    On November 10, Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree announced that the Houthis will release an important statement tonight at 17:10 (Beijing time: 22:10), announcing the implementation of several special military operations deep within Saudi territory. The statement will be released shortly.

  • Rep. Massey: Secretary Hegseth 'Likely' Won't Last Until Year-End

    U.S. Republican Congressman Massey is pushing for impeachment proceedings against Secretary of Defense Hegseth. He stated on Monday that Hegseth will no longer hold his position before the New Year. In an interview with CNN, Massey expressed that he believes 'the likelihood of Peter Hegseth leaving before December 31 of this year is very high.' Hegseth's decision to hold a press conference indicates that he feels scared.

  • October CPI in the U.S. Exceeds Expectations, Core CPI Rises 0.3% Month-on-Month

    On November 10, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the CPI data for October: overall prices increased by 0.4% month-on-month, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.3%, both exceeding expectations. Due to the interruption in data collection during the government shutdown in October last year, the Bureau did not publish year-on-year changes. This is the last CPI report before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 8-9. Prior to the data release, Federal Reserve Governor Waller indicated that if the core CPI rose by 0.3% or more, the Fed might need to raise interest rates by 50 basis points. Following the data release, the market increased bets on a 50 basis point rate hike by the Fed next month and further intensified bets on at least two rate hikes before mid-2027.

  • US CPI Exceeds Expectations

    On November 10, the seasonally adjusted CPI for October in the United States recorded a monthly rate of 0.4%, surpassing market expectations; the seasonally adjusted core CPI for October recorded a monthly rate of 0.3%, also exceeding market expectations.

  • Major Banks Lower NVIDIA Price Targets

    On November 10, Citigroup lowered its price target for NVIDIA from $315 to $285. Wells Fargo reduced its price target from $315 to $300 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating. Mizuho Bank cut its price target from $315 to $250.

  • China's Total Computing Power Reaches 3.1 Million PFLOPS, Ranking Second in the World

    On November 10, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, the second 'Standards Week' event of 2026 organized by the National Data Standardization Technical Committee was held in Xiamen, Fujian. According to relevant officials, the committee has officially established working groups for drafting embodied intelligence data standards and application standards for four industries: meteorology, health, electricity, and commerce. This initiative aims to accelerate the formulation of relevant data standards during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, empowering the digital transformation of various industries. The latest data shows that China's total computing power has reached 3.1 million PFLOPS, ranking second in the world.

  • Binance: Users Hold Over $3 Billion in Traditional Financial Assets

    On November 10, Binance disclosed that the value of traditional financial assets held by users through Direct Stocks and bStocks has exceeded $3 billion. On the same day, bStocks announced that its tokenized stock product has an asset management scale of $1.5 billion, allowing users to participate in trading starting from $5. The original report did not disclose the specific time point for the $3 billion statistic, the composition of the assets, or the respective proportions of the two products.

  • UBS Maintains S&P 500 Target of 8900 Points by End of 2027

    On November 10, UBS maintained its target for the S&P 500 index at 8900 points by the end of 2027, noting that significant declines in valuations this year often herald strong subsequent returns historically. UBS predicts that the S&P 500's earnings per share will grow by 18% to $430 by 2027, with a further increase of 14% to $490 in 2028. The firm recommends an overweight position in semiconductors rather than tech hardware, while expressing optimism for software, hyperscale cloud service providers, healthcare, and financial sectors. UBS prefers the Nasdaq 100 index over the Russell 2000 index and favors stocks with strong balance sheets.