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BTC生态的未来与创新

大话Web3第72期Space直播回顾

主持人:AlanSun/TNA

嘉宾:Tim哥/Phyrex/婧沣/铠 /k博士/Mads

本文由巨鲸研究院制作

牛市起飞,大饼突破6W+,在今年牛市,BTC是否回突破新高7W+,再创新高呢,我们该如何抓住机会,规避风险,有效的进行投资呢

对于这些问题,我们也是邀请了各个赛道的行业大咖,各个火热铭文社区代表,与我们共同研究探讨今晚的问题,现在,让我们来认识一下今天的嘉宾吧。

  • Tim哥

DeFam品牌大使

  • Phyrex
  • 婧沣

Blockwhale Founder

  • 凯

Rats community builder

  • k博士
  • Mads

Core contributor ofTNA Protocol

问题一:

BTC突破50000,对于未来行情以及赛道大家有什么推荐的吗?

Mads

首先 btc突破5w到现在破了59000 其实能够看到现在u的一些数据比较有意思 u的活期40% 场外价格突破过7.4 资金一直在往里进 而这种态势下 其他板块的虽然也呈现了涨势 但涨势的水平很明显反映新资金的流入altcoin的量是不足的 这里其实意味着板块轮动仍有可能性

对于赛道的话,我目前主要关注btc生态,BTC L2非常热门,Merlin的tvl破了20亿,和blast一个水平,包括还有表现非常不错的B Square这些,项目非常多,另外可能未来这些L2还会有DA之争等等,不管是需求还是项目供应的情况,总体上我看好L2的发展。

另外我个人对于新资产协议也仍然很感兴趣,虽然btc的资产协议已经发展了一年多了,但其实L2的发展之后,资产我认为仍然需要依托一层的安全性,最好是发行在一层上,所以我认为还有发展空间,相关基础设施也还需要一步步呈现在市场上。

然后对于一些应用,一定会有所生态补偿,慢慢会跟上发展,但具体的应用类型爆发还是难以预测。应用层不得不提一下域名,域名本身虽然是一个应用属性很强的东西,但它本身也是身份层的一个重要组件,尤其体现在资产证明层面,身份的意义更多的是让各种流通更高效;其次域名还会是跨链互操作中非常重要的一个组件,未来主链资产跨链操作的时候,在用户使用域名的情况下也会更加安全。当然域名本身也有资产属性,资产的玩法未来也可以很多元。

问题二:

我们在投资选择的时候需要注意什么,规避哪方面的风险尤为重要呢?

Mads

我个人觉得投资者首先需要是对自己资金的情况和策略需要有所定义,长期还是短期,包括仓位之间是否有一定的关联、换手换仓的逻辑等,当然至少我看到现在的市场其实很多人操作很多altcoin都不如买btc的收益高,但其实核心是策略本身是让用户不管怎么样 心态还是能够保证良好的,收益高低反而是其次的。在确定策略的同时对标的也需要有清晰认知,资本的机构、叙事本身的自洽性,以及是否能够持续等等。投资者还是需要想明白自己的一套自洽体系。

问题三:

如何看待BTC与ETH域名的板块呢,哪个更有机会

Mads

首先从机会角度来说,我看风险也看赔率,ENS目前几百万的地址用户数,代币的FDV超过20亿,而反观BTC生态的各种增长其实也不过是刚刚起步。既然这个问题本身就已经将两种域名分成了不同的板块,那自然我们意识的到这是不同的生态问题,讲赔率而言,我相信回到一年前ordi只有几美元的时候,大家也都会买的,在btc上发行资产、做生态的社会实验是验证成功了的,BTC能够吸引得到加密投资者并形成最大规模的共识社区。

明显在btc也有非常多元的二层解决方案,甚至不久的将来也会有非常多不同的DA方案,不论逐鹿的结果如何,btc域名项目都还是受益方,二层的市场充分竞争,我相信btc的域名可能在基础设施能力的落地实现上比以太坊域名要更加彻底,随着用户数不断增多,资产化的进程能够加深,资产实现上更加多元,毕竟也是站在了巨人的肩膀上做事。

那么不论是从大的生态来看还是格局和发展来看,我认为btc域名的机会,尤其是对于普通的早期参与者而言,肯定是更大的。

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