On June 11, according to CCTV International News, in light of the recent frequent mutual attacks between the US and Iran, Li Zixin, an assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, analyzed that the current confrontation between the US and Iran is at risk of sliding into a low-intensity, normalized state. The US's logic of promoting talks through military action inherently requires continuous pressure, but American military operations are bound to face reciprocal retaliation from Iran. This spiral of military retaliation could easily lead both sides into a prolonged state of conflict. The US government has threatened to strike Iranian power plants and bridges, and should it cross the red line of military targets, Iran will inevitably escalate its retaliation. The US does not want to get involved in ground warfare, and Iran's economy cannot bear a prolonged blockade, so both sides are still maintaining contact through indirect channels. Therefore, it is highly likely that both will fall into a tug-of-war of conflict and negotiation, but each friction also carries the risk of misjudgment and escalation.
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US-Iran Likely to Enter Prolonged Tug-of-War of Conflict and Negotiation
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