Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Will this cycle skip Ethereum?

 I'm going to take the perspective of long-term Ethereum bulls, not the obviously wrong dyed in the wool Ethereum is dead haters.

There's broadly two perspectives.

 1) This cycle will skip Ethereum.

Why? Puberty is why. Ethereum is going through it's awkward emo stage where trying out adulthood and the wORLd doesn't uNDerSTAND.

The big change is L2s. This is the first cycle Ethereum is basically telling new users - nah don't use Eth, we're too expensive, but good news we've got 100 shiny new L2s you'll love it. Bridge, fragment, frustrate, repeat.

"But L2s are Ethereum!!!"

Yeah yeah i know in the fullness of time that's right. L2s are amazing, the best long-term way to scale decentralization, vitalik's vision etc etc. Don't tell me - I've been mod-pilled since like 2021 polynya - but thing is, i'm not the new marginal buyer of ETH.

Who is the new buyer?

It's memecoin chad. It's app-user stacy. It's tradfi larry.

But chad and stacy are busy buying the token on the chain they're using and there's 96 distractions on L2beat. Larry's buying bitcoin - you think he gaf about onchain cash flows rn?

"But fragmentation is being solved and fundamentals matter because...." Let me stop you there.

I know.

It's puberty. Ethereum is biting the bullet, taking the hard road, going through its necessary awk phase in order to become a mature and well-functioning grown ass chain while toddler chains take shortcuts. FEW.

It's the long term play but will it pay off this bull cycle?

Nope. We skip the cycle.

2) The ETH Bull is Coming.

"You stupid narrative trader" the second ETH bull says. "Of course 10k ETH is coming...give it a min. BTC first, then ETH this is how it happens."

Indeed you'd have to be a fool not to see how much stronger Ethereum is compared to its 2020 cycle.

Only profitable chain & it's not even close. Rock solid monetary economics. Largest exchanges in the world doing ETH L2s. ZkEVMs here. Unlimited L2 budgets accelerating ETH tech. Verge of ETH ETF. Blackrock tokenized treasuries...omg the fundamentals are insane.

Your chain has 1m users? Cool. Ethereum is the root-chain for 1,000 chains w/ 1m users each watch them eat your fees - L2 chain fragmentation?? 100% being fixed, other chains taking mad centralization debt they'll have to pay back - THIS IS THE GWEI

Only a matter of time before investors wake up and start starting valuing cash flows instead of narrative junk food.

ETH missing this cycle would be the dumbest of outcomes and is just so improbable it's barely worth considering...markets are weighing machine so The ETH Bull is Coming.

Two perspectives for ETH bulls.

The Skippooors and the Waitoors. 

Which are you?

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • UBS Group increased its stake in Strategy by 3.23 million shares, bringing its total holdings to 5.76 million shares.

     according to CoinDesk, that Switzerland's largest bank UBS Group increased its holdings by 3.23 million shares in the Bitcoin reserve company Strategy, bringing its total holdings in Strategy to 5.76 million shares (valued at $805 million).

  • Wintermute: This bear market may end faster than previous ones, and the market will most likely recover in the second half of the year.

    Wintermute posted on X stating that it is clear we are already in a bear market, and in fact, it has lasted for some time—especially judging by the performance of altcoins, the extreme concentration of rebounds, and market sentiment on X. However, what makes this bear market different is that it was not triggered by structural collapses like FTX, Luna, or 3AC, but rather driven by macroeconomic conditions and cyclical trend changes, representing a relatively natural deleveraging process, with the core driving forces being changes in positions, risk appetite, and market narratives.

  • BTC breaks through $79,000

    the market shows BTC breaking through $79,000, currently at $79,014.62, with a 24-hour increase of 3.04%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $562.62 million yesterday.

    according to Trader T monitoring, the US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $562.62 million yesterday.

  • ETH falls below $2,300

     the market shows that ETH has fallen below $2300, currently at $2299.76, with a 24-hour increase of 1.65%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risks accordingly.

  • BTC breaks through $79,000

    market shows BTC breaking through $79,000, currently at $79,010, with a 24-hour increase of 2.66%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • The Chicago Board Options Exchange plans to relaunch binary options in order to enter the prediction market.

    Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) is in early discussions with retail brokers and market makers to relaunch binary options contracts, aiming to compete in the rapidly growing prediction markets. Kalshi and Polymarket reached a trading volume of $17 billion in January, setting a monthly record high. Cboe had launched the product in 2008 but subsequently withdrew it, and is now seeking to reposition the product as a starting point for retail investors entering the options market through compliant design. The plan will be regulated by the SEC or CFTC.

  • BTC falls below $75,000

     the market shows BTC falling below 75,000 USD, currently at 74,991 USD, a 24-hour decline of 4.9%, with significant market fluctuations, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $75,000

     the market shows BTC falling below $75,000, currently at $74,968.02, a 24-hour decline of 4.83%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $77,000

    the market shows BTC falling below $77,000, currently at $76,980.12, a 24-hour decline of 2.28%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.