in November, the US inflation rate was far below economists' forecasts, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose that month. Due to information distortion and incompleteness caused by the 43-day federal government shutdown, investors have been reluctant to over-interpret this data. Michael Lorizio, Head of US Rates and Mortgage Trading at Manulife Investment Management, said: "Even taking this into account, it highlights that the current inflation data has very limited room for a significant upside surprise. If the labor market continues on its current trajectory, with the unemployment rate rising by 0.1 percentage points per month, I think the potential for further rate cuts next year may be somewhat underestimated."
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