Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Why is Bitcoin price stuck?

Bitcoin price has fluctuated between $57,814 and $61,815 for nearly seven days, as the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $61,662 remains stubborn resistance.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows Bitcoin price trading at $59,468, down 0.36% amid lower trading volumes, suggesting an extended consolidation period.

  BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Let’s look at the reasons why BTC price remains stuck today.

Weakness in spot demand for Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s whipsaw price action over the last week can be partly attributed to “weakness in spot demand,” as revealed by data from Glassnode.

Analyzing the cumulative volume delta (CVD), Glassnode estimated the current net balance between buying and selling in the Bitcoin spot market to investigate whether there is any directional bias.

The market intelligence firm noted that “there has been a consistent regime of net sell-side pressure” since Bitcoin hit a new all-time high on March 14, evidenced by a negative adjusted spot CVD (30d SMA), as shown in the chart below.

“The recent failure to break above the $70k zone can be partially explained by weakness in spot demand (negative adj-CVD).”

Bitcoin spot CVD vs. BTC price. Source: Glassnode

Negative CVD values suggest a net buy-side pressure, suggesting that the market is experiencing a sell-side bias.

“Activity in spot markets shows that there has been a net bias toward sell-side pressure of late, and this has not yet completely subsided.”

According to Glassnode, demand in the spot market would recover once the adjusted CVD metric crosses the zero line into the positive region.

If this happens, Bitcoin could potentially move out of consolidation to clearthe $70,000 to $72,000 supplier congestion zone and enter price discovery.

Bitcoin price is pinned under the 50-day SMA

On Aug. 5, Bitcoin price fell below the critical support provided by the 50-day simple moving average (EMA), fueled by the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade and fears of a global recession.

Several attempts have been made to reclaim the said level, but each has failed to spark a broader price trend.

Instead, BTC has gone ahead to produce a death cross on the daily chart, “with the 50 MA crossing below the 200 MA, signalling short-term weakness in the market,” declared popular Bitcoin trader Mags.

This is the second death cross since the FTX-led crash to $15,500, with the last death cross occurring in September 2023, when the price was trading around $25,000.

Mags explains that Bitcoin price traded “sideways for a few weeks” following this cross “before reclaiming the moving averages,” resulting in a golden cross and massive move upward.

“If the pattern repeats, we might see a few weeks of choppy PA here. The bullish confirmation will be a reclaim of the MA's followed by a nice bullish cross.”

BTC/USD chart. Source: Mags

The drop below the 50-day SMA saw Bitcoin whales buying into a block of ask liquidity below this level, according to FireCharts shared by trading resource Material Indicators.

According to Material Indicators, Bitcoin whales are still buying, but are running into some friction as ask liquidity dampens upside liquidity.

“If BTC bulls don’t bring the momentum to push to and through $65k, they will need to stack more bid liquidity above $58k to keep the range elevated.”

  Bitcoin Firecharts. Source: Material Indicators

Bitcoin is stuck between two significant levels

On Aug. 15, Bitcoin price reclaimed the $59,000 level, fueled by the anticipation of the first interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in September.

Several attempts have been made to push the price above $60,000, but each has been curtailed by stiff resistance on the upside.

As such, Bitcoin remains stuck despite “positive CPI print,” according to MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe.

Van de Poppe shared the following chart showing that Bitcoin price is stuck between $60,000 and $60,750.

“At this point, we’re looking at a case where we’re seeing a consolidation. As long as Bitcoin holds above $56-57K, everything is fine.”

  BTC/USD 12-hour chart. Source: Micheal van de Poppe

Van de Poppe’s observations were corroborated by data from Coinglass which shows high bid and ask orders building up on either side of the spot price. Currently, there are approximately $102.23 million ask orders between $59,830 and $60,400. On the other hand, roughly $246.95 million bid orders are sitting between $59,120 and $57,000.

Note these price levels are just below or above the spot price, suggesting that there is a tug-of-war between the bears and the bulls.

Bitcoin 12-hour liquidation heatmap. Source: Coinglass

Additional data from market intelligence firm IntoTheBlock helps to explain the ongoing stalemate between buyers and sellers. Its in/out of the money around price (IOMAP) model reveals that the price is currently between two significant levels.

There is robust support around the $57,783 to $59,523 demand zone, where approximately 337,150 BTC were previously bought by 1 million addresses.

On the upside, the supplier congestion zone between $59,600 and $61,340 poses a stiff barrier for the bulls. This is where approximately 896,860 million BTC were previously bought by roughly 1.55 million addresses.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Iranian Official: US Provocation on Strait of Hormuz is a Reactive Response

    According to IRNA, Hussein Nushabadi, the Director General of the Iranian Foreign Ministry's Parliamentary and Legal Affairs Department, stated in an interview that Washington's controversial claims regarding control over the Strait of Hormuz are primarily driven by domestic political needs and are a reactive response to Iran's demonstrated strength and strategic actions in this waterway. He noted that the baseless assertions made by the US President regarding the Strait of Hormuz do not align with international shipping regulations or the relevant provisions of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. Nushabadi also pointed out that Iran possesses political and military dominance over the Strait of Hormuz, a vital lifeline for global energy and economy, making it a powerful lever and strategic trump card in responding to external threats.

  • Jensen Huang Collaborates with Wall Street Giants to Support AI Computing Market

    On August 15, a rare scene unfolded as Jensen Huang joined forces with six major Wall Street asset management giants to endorse the idea of establishing AI computing as an independent asset class. Analysts believe this reflects Huang's commitment to the concept of token economics, marking a shift in the AI boom from a technological competition to a capital competition. However, the latest plan has raised concerns among investors regarding 'circular financing' and debt risks. In response to these doubts, Huang personally stepped in to reassure the market, stating that Nvidia may provide a residual value support mechanism of up to 25% for individual investment projects and will carefully evaluate each project. Following this, market sentiment showed slight improvement. (CCTV Finance)

  • DJI Added to 'Blacklist', US Court Orders Rehearing

    On August 15, according to the Russian Satellite News Agency, the U.S. Court of Appeals recently ruled that a lower court must rehear the case regarding the inclusion of Chinese drone manufacturer DJI on the Pentagon's 'Chinese Military Industrial Enterprises' blacklist, stating that the previous ruling was based on non-confidential information and contained flaws. The report indicated that the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals pointed out that the lower court's conclusion that DJI 'contributes to China's defense industrial base' was erroneous, as it relied solely on publicly available information. The court has mandated that during the rehearing, the lower court may review classified documents and decide whether to uphold the Department of Defense's designation based on that information.

  • Iran Claims Undisputed Ownership of Strait of Hormuz

    On August 15, according to CCTV International News, Iran's Chief Justice Ejei stated today that the absurd remarks made by the U.S. President regarding the Strait of Hormuz are entirely based on his personal delusions. In the real world, the true owner and dominant power of this important international waterway is Iran. Ejei emphasized that Iran has proven militarily that the Strait of Hormuz is an inseparable part of Iranian territory and sovereignty.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $56.2 Million Yesterday

    On August 15, according to data monitored by Farside Investors, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $56.2 million yesterday.

  • No Net Inflow or Outflow for US Spot Ethereum ETF Yesterday

    On August 15, according to monitoring data from Farside Investors, there was no net inflow or outflow for the US spot Ethereum ETF yesterday.

  • Charles Schwab: Low Probability of CLARITY Act Passing Before U.S. Midterm Elections

    On August 15, Charles Schwab stated in its 'Weekly Trader Market Outlook' that as of the time of writing, the Bitwise Top 10 Large Cap Crypto Index has fallen 3% since last Friday; Bitcoin has dropped 3% during the same period, while Ethereum is down 2%. Bitcoin continues to exhibit characteristics of a low-correlation asset, with limited impact on its price from the CPI and PPI data released this week. Last week, the U.S. Senate entered its summer recess without voting on the CLARITY Act. Although the final debate vote for the bill is scheduled for September 14, the probability of it passing before the midterm elections remains low.

  • Sources: Trump to Attend Closed-Door Meeting with Crypto Executives at the White House

    On August 15, sources revealed that U.S. President Trump is expected to attend a White House meeting held by the newly established Innovation Committee on Wednesday. The committee consists of executives from the crypto industry as well as leaders from prediction markets and artificial intelligence companies. Sources indicated that the CEOs of companies such as Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Robinhood, Polymarket, and Kalshi are members of the U.S. CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee. Before attending the committee's first official meeting on Thursday, these crypto industry CEOs will gather at the White House for the meeting on Wednesday. Attendees learned that Trump plans to participate in this meeting. The meeting is expected to take place at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building next to the White House, aiming to initiate policy discussions on several key directions in the U.S. innovation sector. Sources also stated that CFTC Chairman Mike Selig and other policy advisors are expected to attend the meeting. One source further revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick may also be present. The White House spokesperson has not yet responded to requests for comments regarding the meeting arrangements.

  • U.S. Optical Communication Stocks Rise, Lumentum Up Over 6%

    On August 14, U.S. optical communication stocks collectively rose, with Applied Optoelectronics increasing by over 14%, AXT Inc and MaxLinear rising by over 7%, POET Technologies and Lumentum up by over 6%, and Lightwave Logic increasing by over 5%. Corning and Tower Semiconductor also saw gains of over 4%.

  • Dunamu Reports 73% Decrease in Q2 Operating Profit to 23.5 Billion Won

    On August 14, Upbit operator Dunamu announced its Q2 2026 performance, reporting quarterly revenue of 173.5 billion won (approximately 123 million USD) and an operating profit of 23.5 billion won (approximately 16.65 million USD), representing declines of about 26% and 73% respectively compared to Q1. In the first quarter, Dunamu's revenue was 234.6 billion won (approximately 166 million USD) with an operating profit of 88 billion won (approximately 62.34 million USD). Dunamu stated that the decline in performance this quarter was primarily influenced by the overall contraction in liquidity in the global digital asset market, which weakened investor sentiment.