Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Why Is Bitcoin Falling? Price Tumbles 16% from Monthly High Before New Year

Cointime Official

From financemagnates by Jared Kirui

Why is Bitcoin down today?

Bitcoin has entered a significant slump, dipping below $92,000, the lowest since breaking through $100,000 in early December. As 2024 draws to a close, profit-taking by long-term holders and macroeconomic factors could be driving the largest cryptocurrency to its lowest point in weeks.

Investors, particularly those holding Bitcoin for extended periods, could also be seizing the opportunity to cash out after a remarkable year of growth that saw the digital asset surge by more than 100%.

Profit-taking and Market Sentiment

Bitcoin’s ongoing price fall, at $93,594 at the time of publication, represents a 16% decline from its peak of $108k on December 17, data from CoinMarketCap shows. The sell-off, which has also impacted other cryptocurrencies like Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL), comes amid broader financial market pressures.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Fundamentally, the main factor for Bitcoin's downturn is profit-taking by long-term holders, who have benefited from the cryptocurrency’s significant price increase this year.

While profit-taking is a key factor, macroeconomic conditions are also playing an important role. The uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, especially as it’s likely to pause rate cuts until March 2025, has added to investor caution.

As U.S. markets retreat, with indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down over 1%, sentiment in the cryptocurrency space remains fragile. Despite substantial acquisitions from major players like MicroStrategy and Tether, Bitcoin’s technical indicators suggest the price could face further declines.

MicroStrategy just bought 2,138 more BTC, bringing its total holdings to 446,400 BTC. Tether, too, has continued to build its Bitcoin reserves, now holding over $7.7 billion worth of the cryptocurrency.

However, even with these acquisitions, Bitcoin's price has continued its downward trend, signaling that the market may not be ready for a rebound just yet. Technical analysis reveals that Bitcoin is struggling to maintain key support levels.

Bitcoin’s Technical Outlook

On the daily chart, the cryptocurrency flipped the 50-day Exponential Moving Average into resistance and tested the crucial $91,883 support level before rebounding to $94,325. However, BTC remains above the $200 moving average, which is acting as support.

BTCUSD, Source: TradingView

It is important to note that if the price drops below the $91k support level, it could decline further before any change of trend can be seen. In this case, potential levels to watch are $72, 341, $67, 928, or $61,152. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above the oversold zone at 44, meaning that the price could further go down, at least in the short term.

As we move into 2025, Bitcoin's outlook remains uncertain. While the cryptocurrency has seen impressive gains in 2024, the market may be entering a phase of consolidation or a bear market. The path ahead is less clear for the top digital asset, with the potential for further volatility in 2025.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,042.78, with a 24-hour increase of 0.69%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • Trump: Does Not Believe Shooting Incident is Related to Iran Conflict

    On April 26, U.S. President Trump stated (when asked if the shooting incident was related to the Iran conflict) that he does not believe so. (Jinshi)

  • Latest Progress on DeFi United Ecological Rescue Initiative: Over 100,000 ETH Raised at Designated Donation Address

    On April 26, the DeFi United ecological rescue initiative, led by Aave, continues to advance. The Arbitrum DAO has released 30,765 ETH that was frozen after the rsETH incident on April 18. Currently, the designated donation address has raised a total of 100,360 ETH to address the collateral asset gap caused by the rsETH incident. The plan aims to restore the backing assets of rsETH through multi-party collaboration, stabilize the market, and prevent the spread of bad debts across protocols. The funds will be used to support the restoration of collateral rates and to gradually normalize the market in conjunction with relevant protocols. Key contributors or participants currently include: Arbitrum DAO releasing 30,765 ETH frozen after the rsETH incident, Mantle proposing to contribute 30,000 ETH, Aave DAO proposing to contribute 25,000 ETH, Aave founder Stani Kulechov confirming a contribution of 5,000 ETH, EtherFi proposing to provide 5,000 ETH, Lido proposing to provide 2,500 stETH, and the Golem Foundation and related projects contributing a total of 1,000 ETH, among others. Additionally, LayerZero, Ethena, Frax Finance, and Ink Foundation have also confirmed their participation, although the specific amounts have not yet been disclosed. It is important to note that the progress of this rescue initiative still relies on several external key conditions, including KelpDAO's restoration of rsETH redemptions and the Arbitrum Security Council's release of frozen assets, resulting in uncertainty regarding the overall recovery time and effectiveness.

  • Trump Evacuated from White House Correspondents' Dinner Due to Security Incident

    On April 26, local time April 25, U.S. President Trump was urgently evacuated from the White House Correspondents' Dinner due to a security incident. (CCTV News)

  • Shooting Incident at White House Correspondents' Dinner; Gunman Dead

    On April 26, local time on April 25, a shooting incident occurred in the hall of the White House Correspondents' Dinner, and the gunman is now deceased. (CCTV News)

  • Trump States He Will Not Allow Banks to Undermine Cryptocurrency Market Legislation

    On April 26, CoinDesk reported, citing attendees at a Trump cryptocurrency event, that Trump stated he would not allow banks to undermine cryptocurrency market legislation.

  • Iranian Officials to Depart Pakistan Without Meeting U.S. Representatives

    On April 25, according to a reporter from the New York Post: The Iranian delegation is set to leave Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, and has consistently emphasized that they did not meet with U.S. officials during their brief visit.

  • Foreign Media: Second Round of Iran-U.S. Talks Scheduled for April 27

    On April 25, according to New Delhi Television: The second round of talks between Iran and the United States is scheduled to take place on April 27.

  • Iranian Lawmaker: Comprehensive Plan for Managing the Strait of Hormuz Formed

    On April 25, according to a report by Iran's Mehr News Agency, Iranian Islamic Parliament member Behnam Saidi stated that Iran has developed a comprehensive plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz. In an interview with Mehr News Agency, Saidi mentioned that an important aspect of this plan is the exclusive recognition of the name 'Persian Gulf' in all correspondence and commercial documents, rejecting any other names. Vessels and ships navigating in the region must obtain permission from Iran. Sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz will be entirely under Iran's control. He also stated that vessels identified as hostile by the Supreme National Security Council or the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Iran are not allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and Israeli vessels are absolutely prohibited from entering the area. Ships passing through the region must pay relevant fees concerning safety, environmental protection, shipping management, and licensing, with priority given to payments in rials.

  • DeepSeek Plans to Raise $1.8 Billion with a Valuation of Approximately $20 Billion

    Sources reveal that the main reason for DeepSeek's current fundraising effort is the significant recent talent loss. Several core researchers have left the company to join ByteDance, Tencent, Xiaomi, and autonomous driving company Yuanrong Qihang. Meanwhile, competitors Zhiyu Technology and MiniMax have listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and the company Dark Side of the Moon has completed three rounds of financing in the first three months of this year, with a valuation more than quadrupling since the end of last year.