Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

TRUMP’s Road to New All-Time High: Why a 166% Rally May Be Unlikely

Cointime Official

From beincrypto by Aaryamann Shrivastava

The TRUMP token, which recently hit an all-time high (ATH) of $79, is now battling a sharp downtrend. Currently trading at $29, the cryptocurrency has struggled to maintain its momentum, with its value eroding in the weeks following its peak. 

The sustained losses are prompting many early enthusiasts and traders to reconsider their positions, with market sentiment around the altcoin growing increasingly pessimistic.

TRUMP Traders Are Uncertain

In the last five days, the Open Interest (OI) for TRUMP has dropped significantly, declining by $200 million — from $1.14 billion to $962 million. This sharp contraction in OI indicates that traders are losing confidence in the altcoin. Such a reduction signals waning participation in the futures market, as fewer traders are willing to speculate on TRUMP’s price movements.

The altcoin’s diminishing relevance appears tied to its origins and association with Donald Trump. While initially buoyed by the former president’s notoriety, the token’s appeal has since plateaued as broader crypto trends have overshadowed its novelty. 

  TRUMP Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

Despite the decline in sentiment, some technical indicators suggest that TRUMP may have room to recover. Notably, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) recently displayed a bullish crossover. This development hints at positive momentum in the broader cryptocurrency market, which could provide the tailwinds TRUMP needs to regain footing.

However, bullish signals from the MACD alone may not be sufficient. The token’s broader macro momentum remains uncertain, with inconsistent trading volumes and fluctuating market demand. Sustained growth would require strong market cues and renewed trader confidence to counteract its current trajectory.

  TRUMP MACD. Source: TradingView

TRUMP Price Prediction: Finding a Breach

At the time of writing, TRUMP is holding just above its $26 support, trading at $29. The immediate challenge lies in flipping the $34 resistance level into support. Successfully breaching this level could provide a foundation for further gains, sparking cautious optimism among traders.

However, skepticism persists. For TRUMP to return to its ATH of $79, it would need a staggering 166% rally — an unlikely feat given the diminishing trader optimism and fading interest. The altcoin’s reliance on speculative enthusiasm rather than utility further complicates its recovery prospects.

  TRUMP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On a more optimistic note, if TRUMP manages to break through $34 and establish it as a support floor, it could climb to $45. Breaching this critical level may instill renewed bullish sentiment, paving the way for a broader recovery. This scenario, while plausible, would still require consistent market support and renewed interest from both retail and institutional investors.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Trump Shares Op-Ed Claiming He is Winning the War Against Iran

    On August 29, U.S. President Trump shared a commentary article from the New York Post on Truth Social on Saturday, which stated that he is winning the war against Iran and should maintain the current strategy. The title of the article Trump shared read: 'Trump is Winning the War Against Iran - Stay the Course.'

  • Morgan Stanley: 2028 as a Key Observation Point for Global Memory Competition Landscape

    On August 29, Morgan Stanley pointed out that the rise of Chinese memory manufacturers should not be viewed merely as a technological catch-up or low-cost substitution; what is truly noteworthy is that their production capacity may gradually become large enough to alter the supply structure of the global memory market. Changxin Technology and Yangtze Memory Technologies are currently entering the mainstream product market and gradually extending into high-profit markets such as HBM, high-end server DRAM, and enterprise SSDs. Morgan Stanley considers 2028 as an important observation point for the global memory competition landscape. From 2026 to 2027, demand for AI servers, capacity crowding of advanced wafers by HBM, import substitution, and the time required for customer certification may absorb most of the new supply from Chinese memory manufacturers. By 2028, as Chinese manufacturers expand production, the additional capacity from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, which had previously initiated expansions, will also be released. At that time, the supply variables in the global memory market will significantly increase. Morgan Stanley estimates that Changxin's DRAM monthly production capacity will rise from 180,000 wafers in 2025 to 300,000 in 2026, accounting for approximately 13% of global DRAM wafer capacity and about 11% of bit shipments; by 2028, it is expected to further increase to 500,000 wafers, and by 2031, it could reach 800,000 wafers. If the expansion proceeds smoothly, Changxin's global DRAM bit shipment market share could approach 15% by 2030, and it may even have the opportunity to surpass Micron in production capacity around 2028, becoming the third-largest DRAM supplier in the world.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF experienced a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49. The 24-hour decline has narrowed to 3.23%. Due to significant market fluctuations, please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49, with a 24-hour decline narrowing to 3.23%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Briefly Drops Below $77,000

    Market data shows that BTC briefly fell below $77,000, currently reported at $77,694, with a 24-hour decline of 3.3%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.