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The "CLARITY Act" stirs up the 2026 midterm elections: cross-party support becomes a key variable, and crypto issues rewrite the logic of election dynamics

The election campaign for the 2026 midterm elections has quietly heated up, and a piece of legislation that originally focused on regulating the cryptocurrency industry, the CLARITY Act of 2025, has unexpectedly become an important variable affecting the election situation. According to an online poll conducted by HarrisX on 2008 registered voters in the United States from May 1 to 4, 2026, the bill not only received broad bipartisan support, but also brought significant election benefits to candidates who supported it, and even pushed voters to vote across parties. Its political influence has far surpassed the cryptocurrency industry itself, becoming an important issue tool for candidates to win over key voters.

As one of the most important digital asset legislation reviewed by Congress so far, the core of the CLARITY Act is to clarify the regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC on digital assets, establish registration rules for cryptocurrency exchanges and custodians, and strengthen consumer protection. But the poll results clearly indicate that it has surpassed the scope of simple industry regulation and risen to a political issue related to the leadership of US digital finance, national security, and the status of the US dollar, thus deeply intervening in the game logic of the 2026 midterm elections.

###1、 Cross party consensus highlights: the bill has gained widespread support from voters, with awareness becoming a key variable

Polls show that the support for the CLARITY Act exhibits distinct bipartisan characteristics, making it a rare "consensus issue" in midterm elections. After receiving a neutral description of the bill, 52% of respondents expressed support, while only 11% explicitly opposed it. The net support rates of voters from different parties were impressive: Republican voters had a net support rate of+48, Democratic voters had a net support rate of+43, and independent voters had a net support rate of+32, with Republican voters having the highest support rate.

It is worth noting that voter awareness of the bill is still low -64% of voters have never heard of the CLARITY Act, only 14% say they have heard of it a lot, and 22% say they have heard of it a little. This means that the candidate's interpretation and promotion of the bill will directly determine their upper limit of support on this issue. After understanding the core content of the bill, the significant increase in support has made it an important lever for candidates to win over middle voters.

In addition, voters who are more familiar with digital assets have higher support for the bill: the net support rate for cryptocurrency holders is+57, voters who are familiar with digital assets is+55, and voters who are familiar with the CLARITY Act are+49. The increase in education level and information exposure further strengthens voters' support for the bill.

###2、 Significant election gains: Supporting the bill can gain a net advantage of+20, and cross party voting becomes the norm

The most direct impact of the CLARITY Act on the midterm elections is to bring clear election gains to candidates who support it. According to a poll, 37% of voters said that if a senator votes for the bill, they would be more inclined to support the senator; Only 17% expressed a less inclined support, with an overall net election gain of+20 percentage points.

This benefit is reflected among voters of different parties: among Republican voters, 44% said they would be more inclined to vote for the candidate because of their support for the bill; The proportion among Democratic voters is 37%; 31% of independent voters. What is even more impactful is the cross party mobility effect -47% of voters say that if a candidate supports the CLARITY Act and their preferred political party does not support it, they will consider voting for a candidate outside of that party.

Among key groups, this cross party voting willingness is stronger: 72% of cryptocurrency holders are willing to vote across parties on this issue; Among voters familiar with digital assets and those familiar with the bill, this proportion reaches 67%. This means that the CLARITY Act breaks the norm of "entrenched partisan barriers" in midterm elections and becomes one of the few core issues that can drive voter cross party mobility.

At the same time, the issue of cryptocurrency regulation has become an important factor affecting voters' voting: 52% of voters say that candidates' positions on cryptocurrency regulation are "extremely important" or "somewhat important" to their voting choices for the 2026 midterm elections; Among cryptocurrency holders, this proportion soared to 78%, reaching 74% among voters familiar with digital assets. Although it has not yet become the top voting driver, its broad political reach is enough to make it an important campaign topic that candidates cannot ignore.

###3、 Core driving force: National security and US leadership anxiety, reshaping the value of issues

The support of voters for the CLARITY Act essentially stems from a deep concern for US digital financial leadership and national security, which makes the political narrative of the bill more persuasive. According to a poll, 56% of voters believe that if the future digital payment system is built and controlled by countries outside the United States, it will weaken US national security; Only 22% believe it will enhance US national security, a consensus among Democratic, Republican, and independent voters.

When asked about the primary reason for supporting the CLARITY Act, 23% of voters chose "national security and dollar status", believing that the bill would allow the dollar and the US payment system to continue to maintain their position as global financial centers, far exceeding other reasons such as "law enforcement and illegal financial activities" (17%) and "consumer protection and fraud prevention" (16%). In addition, 46% of voters, upon learning of the fact that "eight out of the top ten global cryptocurrency trading platforms are headquartered outside the United States," believe that the fact that cryptocurrency trading is mostly outside of US regulation is a problem, while only 13% think it's okay, with Republican voters having the most prominent concerns (50%).

This anxiety further translates into a strong demand for clear federal legislation: 70% of voters believe that the United States should have already passed clear cryptocurrency legislation, expressing a sense of urgency about why it hasn't acted yet; 62% of voters believe that it is "extremely important" or "very important" for the United States to establish global digital finance rules, elevating cryptocurrency regulation from a purely financial issue to a national competition issue; 60% of voters would rather accept an imperfect but clear federal legislation than continue to rely on the SEC's case by case enforcement model of "litigation replacing legislation"; 57% of voters support "legislation first, iteration later" and believe that "pursuing perfection" should not hinder the legislative process.

###4、 Crypto voters: a crucial force that cannot be ignored, highlighting the influence of swing states

The CLARITY Act can become an election variable without the rise of encrypted voter groups - a sizable, highly engaged, issue driven, and willing to vote across party lines, becoming a key force that cannot be ignored in midterm elections. According to polls and previous research by Harris X, two fifths of American voters have purchased cryptocurrency, 30% have made purchases in the past year, and awareness and ownership rates are mainly concentrated among male and under 35 year old voters, who are the core targets of candidates in midterm elections.

The influence of encrypted voters is mainly reflected in three aspects: first, high participation rate, with 92% of encrypted holders planning to vote in elections, far exceeding the average participation rate of ordinary voters; Secondly, the issue is highly driven, with 85% of crypto holders believing that it is important for candidates to support pro crypto policies, and 49% of ordinary voters also considering this stance to be significant; Thirdly, there is strong cross party mobility. If candidates support their preferred pro crypto policies, the net increase in cross party voting for crypto holders can reach+58 percentage points, and the net increase for ordinary voters can also reach+13 percentage points.

More importantly, in swing states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the number of crypto issue driven voters has exceeded the win lose gap in previous presidential elections, which means that the voting preferences of crypto voters may directly determine the election results in these key swing states. In addition, CBS News reported that candidates supported by the cryptocurrency industry won 85% of the congressional elections in which the industry actively participated, further confirming the influence of cryptocurrency issues in elections.

###5、 The Essence of Variables: From "Regulatory Legislation" to "Election Tools", Rewriting the Logic of Election Campaigns

Overall, the impact of the CLARITY Act on the 2026 midterm elections is essentially a transition of encryption issues from "internal industry affairs" to "mainstream political issues". It not only provides candidates with a cross party tool to win over voters, but also changes the core logic of some election campaigns.

For candidates, supporting the CLARITY Act has become a "low-risk, high reward" political choice: on the one hand, the cross party support feature of the bill can help candidates break free from partisan barriers and win over independent and middle of the road voters; On the other hand, it can accurately reach key groups such as cryptocurrency holders and young voters, especially in swing states, and this precise reach may become the key to determining the outcome of elections. Candidates who oppose the bill may face the risk of losing the support of this portion of voters.

For the US political arena, the rise of the CLARITY Act marks a shift in the core issue of cryptocurrency regulation from 'should it be regulated' to 'who can use it to mobilize votes'. The anxiety of voters towards the leadership of digital finance in the United States, the need for clear regulatory rules, and the rise of the crypto voter community have collectively pushed this regulatory bill to the core stage of the midterm elections.

###Conclusion: The ultimate direction of the variables in the bill depends on their implementation and promotion

The CLARITY Act has become an important variable that cannot be ignored in the 2026 midterm elections. Its bipartisan support base, significant election gains, and influence on key voter groups make it an important part of a candidate's campaign strategy. But the ultimate impact of this variable still depends on two key factors: first, the progress of the bill in Congress. If substantial progress can be made before the election, its electoral influence will be further amplified; The second is the candidate's interpretation and promotion of the bill. Whether the bill can be deeply linked to the core demands of voters, such as national security and American leadership, will directly determine whether it can effectively mobilize voters.

In any case, the political impact of the CLARITY Act has become clear: it may not only reshape the regulatory landscape of the US cryptocurrency industry, but also rewrite some of the election scenarios for the 2026 midterm elections, making cryptocurrency an indispensable component of the mainstream political discourse in the United States.

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