Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

High-Stakes $100K Bitcoin Call Signals Expectation for Record Price Jump After Trump's Inauguration

Cointime Official

From coindesk by Omkar Godbole

BTC options flow. (Deribit, Amberdata)

Bitcoin (BTC) market trends indicate expectations for prices to reach record highs following President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20.

On Saturday, a trader on crypto exchange Deribit spent over $6 million to purchase the $100,000 strike call options set to expire on March 28, according to data source Amberdata.

"This trade anticipates that new highs for bitcoin will be broken just a few months after Trump officially takes office," Amberdata said on X.

Traders are also net buyers at the $120,000 strike, indicating strong anticipation of a rally pushing prices above that level. The $120,000 call is the most popular option on Deribit, boasting a notional open interest of $1.52 billion at press time.

A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at a specific price later in time. A call buyer is implicitly bullish on the market, looking to make asymmetric gains from an expected price rally.

The renewed interest in the call options comes as BTC looks to regain the $100,000 handle. At press time, the leading cryptocurrency by market value traded above $99,500, marking an 8% recovery from the Dec. 30 low of $91,384, according to data source CoinDesk and TradingView.

"The inauguration and right after will be a prime-time for bullish announcements and policies that could be bullish catalysts for bitcoin to move higher," Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata, said in a weekly newsletter.

Regulated cryptocurrency index provider CF Benchmarks voiced a similar opinion while warning that potential delays in policy development, if any, could temper the bullish mood.

"A restructured SEC under procryptocurrency leadership may reduce enforcement risks and foster innovation. These changes, coupled with streamlined compliance requirements, could enhance investor confidence," CF Benchmarks said in an annual report shared with CoinDesk.

"We believe that an industry framework will come, however, implementation delays or policy shifts may temper market optimism, creating short-term volatility," the firm added.

Expectations for pro-crypto regulatory changes have bolstered the crypto market sentiment since Donald Trump won the U.S. election in early November. BTC rose from roughly $70,000 to new lifetime highs above $108,000 weeks after the election. However, the rally has lost steam in the second half of December, likely due to year-end profit-taking and hawkish Fed rate projections.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Trump Shares Op-Ed Claiming He is Winning the War Against Iran

    On August 29, U.S. President Trump shared a commentary article from the New York Post on Truth Social on Saturday, which stated that he is winning the war against Iran and should maintain the current strategy. The title of the article Trump shared read: 'Trump is Winning the War Against Iran - Stay the Course.'

  • Morgan Stanley: 2028 as a Key Observation Point for Global Memory Competition Landscape

    On August 29, Morgan Stanley pointed out that the rise of Chinese memory manufacturers should not be viewed merely as a technological catch-up or low-cost substitution; what is truly noteworthy is that their production capacity may gradually become large enough to alter the supply structure of the global memory market. Changxin Technology and Yangtze Memory Technologies are currently entering the mainstream product market and gradually extending into high-profit markets such as HBM, high-end server DRAM, and enterprise SSDs. Morgan Stanley considers 2028 as an important observation point for the global memory competition landscape. From 2026 to 2027, demand for AI servers, capacity crowding of advanced wafers by HBM, import substitution, and the time required for customer certification may absorb most of the new supply from Chinese memory manufacturers. By 2028, as Chinese manufacturers expand production, the additional capacity from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, which had previously initiated expansions, will also be released. At that time, the supply variables in the global memory market will significantly increase. Morgan Stanley estimates that Changxin's DRAM monthly production capacity will rise from 180,000 wafers in 2025 to 300,000 in 2026, accounting for approximately 13% of global DRAM wafer capacity and about 11% of bit shipments; by 2028, it is expected to further increase to 500,000 wafers, and by 2031, it could reach 800,000 wafers. If the expansion proceeds smoothly, Changxin's global DRAM bit shipment market share could approach 15% by 2030, and it may even have the opportunity to surpass Micron in production capacity around 2028, becoming the third-largest DRAM supplier in the world.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF experienced a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49. The 24-hour decline has narrowed to 3.23%. Due to significant market fluctuations, please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49, with a 24-hour decline narrowing to 3.23%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Briefly Drops Below $77,000

    Market data shows that BTC briefly fell below $77,000, currently reported at $77,694, with a 24-hour decline of 3.3%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.