Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

‘Bitcoin bull cycle is over,' CryptoQuant CEO warns, citing onchain metrics

Validated Media

CryptoQuant’s head chief says Bitcoin’s bull market could already be over — changing his stance from earlier in the month when he said the Bitcoin bull cycle will be slow but “is still intact.”

“Bitcoin bull cycle is over, expecting 6-12 months of bearish or sideways price action,” CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju said in a March 17 X post.

All signals are currently bearish, says Ju

Ju said that all Bitcoin onchain metrics indicate a bear market. “With fresh liquidity drying up, new whales are selling Bitcoin at lower prices,” Ju said. 

It comes only days after Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin funding rates, which reflect the cost of holding long or short positions in crypto futures, are hovering close to 0%, indicating increasing indecisiveness among traders.

Ju’s claim is in stark contrast to his March 4 post, where he said the Bitcoin bull cycle will remain slow but “is still intact,” pointing to neutral readings on key indicators.

“Fundamentals remain strong, with more mining rigs coming online,” Ju said in a March 4 X post.

Other analysts aren’t as bearish. Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph that “there is no reason to panic.”

Hundal explained that while investors are “spooked” by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, “all the numbers show a global economy that is pointing in the right direction.”

“Money will move to on-risk assets when the market is ready to take on risk.”

At the time of publication, Bitcoin is trading at $83,030, down 14.79% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Some analysts think that given that the global M2 money supply has just reached new highs, Bitcoin could be set for an uptrend.

“I’m saying Global Money Supply just made another new ATH. We are about to see Bitcoin rally again,” crypto analyst Seth said in a recent X post.

Likewise, CoinRoutes CEO Dave Weisberger said that if the historical trend persists, Bitcoin could reach all-time highs by late April.

“Expect Bitcoin to hit a new ATH within a month if its BETA correlation to money supply holds,” Weisberger said in a March 17 X post.

However, based on historical data, Bitcoin’s current price is 67% lower than the lower bound should be, according to former Phunware CEO Alan Knitowski.

“At this stage of the cycle, the lower bound of the historical range should be around $250,000,” Knitowski said in a March 17 X post.

  Source: Alan Knitowski


Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten recently told Cointelegraph that “there’s more than a 50% chance we will see all-time highs before the end of June this year.” Bitcoin’s current all-time high of $109,000 was reached on Jan. 20, just hours before Trump was inaugurated as US President.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Japanese listed company ANAP Holdings increased its holdings of Bitcoin by 127.73.

    according to market sources, Japanese listed company ANAP Holdings has disclosed an increase in its Bitcoin holdings by 127.73 coins. As of now, the company's total Bitcoin holdings have reached 1,346.58 coins, valued at approximately 118 million USD.

  • Changpeng Zhao: Binance Wallet now supports identifying malicious addresses; you will receive a warning if you transfer funds to them.

    Zhao Changpeng posted on Binance Plaza stating, "The cryptocurrency industry should be able to completely eradicate address poisoning attacks and protect users. All wallets should simply check whether the receiving address is a poisoned address and block the user.This is a blockchain query. Wallets should not even display these junk transactions anywhere. If the value of the transaction is very small, filter it out. Security alliances in the industry should maintain a real-time blacklist of these addresses so that wallets can check before sending transactions. Binance Wallet is already doing this. If a user tries to send to a malicious address, they will receive a warning.

  • Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $189 million yesterday, marking the fourth consecutive day of net outflows.

     according to SoSoValue data, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs is 189 million USD.The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow yesterday was Blackrock's ETF IBIT, with a single-day net outflow of 157 million USD. Currently, IBIT's total historical net inflow has reached 62.34 billion USD. The second is Fidelity's ETF FBTC, with a single-day net outflow of 15.2979 million USD. Currently, FBTC's total historical net inflow has reached 12.189 billion USD. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is 114.289 billion USD, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a proportion of Bitcoin's total market value) reaching 6.53%, and the cumulative historical net inflow has reached 57.076 billion USD.

  • BTC falls below $88,000

     market shows BTC fell below $88,000, currently at $87,997.85, 24-hour decline reaches 0.88%, market volatility is significant, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • The U.S. spot Ethereum ETF saw net inflows of $84.59 million yesterday.

     according to Trader T monitoring, the US spot Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 84.59 million USD yesterday.

  • ETH breaks $3,000

     the market shows ETH breaking through $3000, currently at $3000.08, with a 24-hour decline of 0.38%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • Binance Wallet launches "secure auto-signature" service

     according to the official announcement, Binance Wallet has launched the "Secure Auto Sign" (SAS) service: it now supports mnemonic/private key wallets to trade on Binance Wallet (web version).

  • Circle minted 500 million USDC on the Solana network.

    according to Onchain Lens monitoring, Circle has minted 500 million USDC on the Solana network. Since October 11, Circle has issued a total of 18 billion USDC on the Solana network.

  • Sources familiar with the matter: JPMorgan Chase is considering offering cryptocurrency trading services to institutional clients.

    according to Bloomberg, as major global banks deepen their involvement in the cryptocurrency asset class, JPMorgan Chase is considering offering cryptocurrency trading services to its institutional clients. A knowledgeable source revealed that JPMorgan is evaluating what products and services its market division can offer to expand its business in the cryptocurrency field. The source stated that these products and services may include spot and derivatives trading.