Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Analysis: Next week, we will focus on the release of US CPI data. The market is waiting for Trump to fulfill his promises since taking office.

analyst Adam from Greeks.Live stated that after failing to break the $100,000 mark, Bitcoin experienced a pullback and ETF funds continued to flow out. Despite the upcoming inauguration of President Trump, major speculative markets are instead filled with safe-haven sentiment, with the US stock market experiencing a significant decline. The market's attention will be focused on the release of US CPI data next week (January 13-19). This will be the most important macro data before Trump takes office, and the market is now waiting for various promises to be fulfilled.

In the options market, due to sufficient institutional margins, large amounts of selling occur whenever there is a selling opportunity, leading to a significant decrease in short-term implied volatility (IV). Looking at options transactions, bulk call options trading is active, mainly used to supplement institutional selling positions. In terms of time dimension, options at the end of January are relatively undervalued, while options in March are relatively overvalued.

In addition, new EU regulations require encrypted exchanges to comply with travel rule guidelines and strengthen anti-money laundering measures. Deribit and other exchanges need to improve their KYC in order to operate normally. In the interest rate market, Bitfinex's interest rate market has performed steadily recently, and it is recommended to actively trade at appropriate interest rates, especially focusing on market volatility.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • ETH breaks through $3100

    the market shows ETH breaking through $3100, currently at $3100.29, with a 24-hour increase of 1.74%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risks accordingly.
  • BTC breaks through $91,000

     the market shows BTC breaking through $91,000, currently at $91,011.99, with a 24-hour increase of 1.78%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.
  • BTC breaks $90,000

    market shows BTC breaking through $90,000, currently at $90,009.99, the 24-hour decline narrowed to 0.57%, market volatility is high, please manage your risk properly.
  • The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $54.8 million yesterday.

    according to data monitored by Farside Investors, the US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of 54.8 million USD yesterday.
  • The US spot Ethereum ETF saw a net outflow of $75.2 million yesterday.

     according to data monitored by Farside Investors, the US spot Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 75.2 million USD yesterday.
  • Economists expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December, with two more cuts possible in 2026.

    according to economists surveyed, Federal Reserve officials are expected to vote next week to cut interest rates again to guard against the rising risk of a sharp deterioration in the labor market. The median of respondents shows that the Fed is expected to implement two more 25 basis point rate cuts within the year starting from March 2026. Next week's rate cut will continue the momentum of rate cuts from the policy meetings in September and October. A considerable majority also expect Fed officials to once again reiterate the statement that "the downside risks to employment have increased in recent months," as they did in October. The Federal Reserve will announce its decision at 2 PM Washington time on December 10, followed by a press conference held by Chairman Jerome Powell.
  • Bank of America: Markets will soon digest expectations of a Fed rate cut in January.

    Bank of America stated the market may soon price in the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectation in January. (Jin10)
  • He Lifeng held a video call with U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade Representative Greer.

    He Lifeng, China's lead for China-US economic and trade relations and Vice Premier of the State Council, held a video call with the US leads, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Trade Representative Katherine Tai. The two sides had in-depth and constructive exchanges on implementing the important consensus reached by the Chinese and US heads of state at the Busan meeting and the November 24 call, focusing on carrying out pragmatic cooperation and properly addressing mutual concerns in the economic and trade field. Both sides positively evaluated the implementation of the outcomes of the China-US economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, stating that under the strategic guidance of the two heads of state, they will continue to make good use of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism, continuously extend the cooperation list, reduce the list of issues, and promote the sustained, stable, and positive development of China-US economic and trade relations. 
  • Hassett: No discussion with US President Trump regarding the Federal Reserve Chair (selection)

    Director of the White House National Economic Council, Hassett, stated: He has not discussed the Federal Reserve Chair (candidate) issue with U.S. President Trump and supports Bassett's views on the Federal Reserve Chair. 
  • White House National Economic Council Director Hassett: It's Time for the Fed to Cautiously Cut Interest Rates

    White House National Economic Council Director Hassett stated: It is time for the Federal Reserve to cautiously cut interest rates.