10x Research posted on social media platforms, stating that the 10-year US Treasury yield (if the 10-year yield is above the 7-day moving average → bullish, but below the 30-day moving average → bearish, with a weekly change of -1.2%) fell slightly after cooling inflation data in September, with the monthly inflation rate dropping to 0.3% and the annual rate dropping to 3%, both below expectations, enhancing market expectations for Fed easing policies.
Due to investors' optimism about moderate price growth, the 10-year yield fell below 4.00%, narrowing the spread with 2-year Treasury bonds, indicating a slight easing of recession concerns.
Scope Ratings downgraded the US credit rating to AA-, temporarily bringing upward pressure on yields. The government shutdown led to delayed economic data releases, increased uncertainty, and limited yield declines. Corporate bond auctions attracted strong demand.
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