Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Surge Shows Investor Confidence on Trade Deals, Powell

What to know:

  • Bitcoin and ether saw notable price gains Tuesday as U.S. officials raised hopes for a U.S.-China trade deal.
  • The rally was supported by a bigger increase in open interest in perpetual futures, indicating growing investor confidence.
  • Positive funding rates suggest a bullish sentiment, with traders willing to pay fees to maintain long positions.

As bitcoin (BTC) and ether's (ETH) recovery rally gathered momentum Tuesday, the perpetual futures market saw an even more pronounced increase in open interest, pointing to growing investor confidence as the Trump administration dialed back on its trade-tariff, anti-Fed rhetoric.

BTC, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, rose 6.79% nearly topping $94,000 for the first time since March, CoinDesk data show. That's the most significant single-day percentage gain since April 9. The Ethereum blockchain's ether token jumped 11% to $1,1175, it's best performance since April 2.

  The rally came as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent discussed de-escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions, followed by President Donald Trump saying tariffs on Chinese goods will drop substantially from the present 245%. Trump further said he does not intend to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

The price surge was characterized by traders deploying money for perpetual futures trading on major offshore exchanges as evidenced by bigger increases in open interest at Binance, Bybit, OKX and Deribit and leading on-chain perpetual-focused decentralized exchange Hyperliquid.

The cumulative notional open interest, or the dollar value of the number of active bets in BTC perpetual futures, rose by 10% to $17.83 billion, according to data source Velo. That's the biggest single-day increase since March 2, when Trump mentioned XRP, ADA and SOL as potential candidates for a strategic digital assets reserve that would hold bitcoin and ether as the core. The administration later said it would keep bitcoin seized in enforcement actions as a reserve.

"Bitcoin's Open Interest surged faster than its Price, with most positions originating from Binance," Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal Research, said on X. "The issue is that a large portion consists of Longs, so increased volatility is expected in the coming hours."

The price surge was likely aided by short squeeze, or unwinding of short perpetual futures bets. Funding rates were negative roughly 24 hours ago, implying a bias for shorts.

Ether's notional open interest jumped nearly 16% to $6.60 billion, the largest single-day increase since Nov. 27.

An increase in open interest alongside a price rise is said to confirm the bullish momentum. In other words, BTC and ETH could continue to rise.

Funding Rates Bullish

The bias for bullish long positions is also evident from the moderately positive annualized perpetual funding rates, ranging between annualized 5% to 10% for BTC and ETH.

Funding rates, charged every eight hours, are payments exchanged between traders holding long and short positions in perpetual futures. They are designed to ensure the contract price stays close to the underlying asset's spot price.

A positive funding rate implies that traders are more inclined and willing to pay fees to hold long positions. As such, it's considered a sign of bullish sentiment. However, excessively high funding rates can indicate overcrowding or bullish speculative fervor, but that's not the case right now.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • ETH breaks through $2100

    market shows ETH breaking through $2100, currently at $2100.24, with a 24-hour increase of 7.65%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risks accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $66,000

    the market shows BTC falling below 66,000 USD, currently at 65,996.42 USD, a 24-hour decline of 2.35%, with significant market fluctuations, please manage your risk properly.

  • YesGo Makes Its Public Debut: Joining Forces with Ecosystem and Industry Leaders to Usher in a New Era of On-Chain Native Commerce

    Hong Kong, February 11, 2026 – As one of the most visionary cross-sector dialogues held during Hong Kong Consensus Week, the YesGo Ecosystem Partner Meeting concluded successfully yesterday. This closed-door event, spearheaded by YesGo and co-hosted by Nexus Chain and compliant digital asset exchange CoinMy, brought together a select group of global ecosystem partners, industry KOLs, and media representatives.

  • The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was 227,000.

     initial jobless claims in the United States last week were 227,000, estimated at 224,000, previous value was 231,000.

  • BTC breaks through $68,000

     the market shows BTC breaking through $68,000, currently at $68,023.93, with a 24-hour decline of 1.36%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • [Consensus HK] ENI CEO Arion Ho: Decentralization is an Engineering Choice, Not a Slogan

    At the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 summit, ENI Founder and CEO Arion Ho joined the DeFi Lead at CoinDesk and executives from Paradigm and Blockdaemon to debate the future of DeFi decentralization. Ho delivered a sharp critique of the industry’s current trajectory, asserting that decentralization should never be about "slogan-style freedom," but is fundamentally a rigorous engineering choice.

  • Trump praised the non-farm payroll data and urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to the "lowest in the world."

    US President Trump posted on social media, "Employment data is excellent, far exceeding expectations! The US should pay much less interest on borrowing costs (bonds!). We have once again become the world's number one power, and therefore deserve the lowest interest rates ever. This will bring at least one trillion dollars in interest savings annually — the budget will not only be balanced but will have a substantial surplus. Wow! The golden age of America has arrived!!!"

  • BTC falls below $67,000

    the market shows BTC falling below $67,000, currently at $66,991.58, with a 24-hour decline of 3.41%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $69,000

     the market shows BTC fell below 69,000 USD, currently at 68,996.18 USD, with a 24-hour decline of 2.21%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $70,000

     the market shows BTC falling below $70,000, currently at $69,990, with a 24-hour decline of 1.04%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.