Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Can Stablecoins Get Past Their Instability?

By Rajeev Bamra

This post is part of Consensus Magazine’s Trading Week, sponsored by CME. Rajeev Bamra is a senior vice president and head of DeFI and digital assets at Moody’s Investors Service.

Stablecoins, cryptocurrencies designed to hold a stable value through a peg to an underlying asset, such as the U.S. dollar, have gained popularity for their potential to provide the flexibility of cryptocurrency without its price volatility. Their design — whether fiat-backed, as most are, or algorithmic (i.e. backed by other assets or cryptocurrencies) — is meant to offer users a refuge from the price gyrations of traditional cryptocurrencies like bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH).

One significant advantage of stablecoins is their operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness in cross-border transactions. Stablecoin transactions can take place with far fewer intermediaries than are involved in traditional bank transfers, for example, making them cheaper and faster to use for sending remittances abroad.

However, although such use cases are promising, stablecoins have not always lived up to their promised stability. In recent years there have been several instances of price depegging, when stablecoins fell below the value of their referenced assets.

See also: USDC Stablecoin Depegs From $1; Circle Says Operations Are Normal

These depegging events have been driven by a range of factors, including regulatory actions, security breaches and imbalances in digital asset pools supporting decentralized exchanges. Investors have responded by divesting their holdings, citing a lack of transparency in underlying reserves and the allure of higher yields from traditional assets in a rising interest rate environment.

Below is a closer look at how several events, as well as changing market conditions, have led to flows away from stablecoins.

  • Terra: risk of unregulated stablecoins. The collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin, UST, on the Terra network in 2022 showcased the risks associated with unregulated stablecoins. The dramatic fall in UST's value had a cascading effect on tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin, causing it to temporarily trade below its $1 peg. UST's reliance on market anticipation and demand for both LUNA and UST left it vulnerable to market fluctuations.
  • FTX: risks from links to traditional finance. The collapse of FTX, a once high-valued centralized crypto exchange, raised concerns about contagion in the industry and led to a decline in USDT's value on major exchanges. These events underscore the interconnection between traditional finance and the cryptocurrency space.
  • Curve and Uniswap: liquidity pool imbalances. Another challenge has been liquidity pool imbalances within decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, such as Curve Finance and Uniswap. These imbalances, often driven by arbitrage and market fluctuations, have led to deviations from the intended peg of 1:1 for USDT, eroding trust within the DeFi community.
  • Competition from high-yielding, low-risk assets. The inverse correlation between U.S. Treasury yields and stablecoin demand has further complicated the landscape. Rising yields have enticed risk-averse investors to move funds into Treasuries, affecting the market share of stablecoins.

In addition to price volatility and competition from higher-yielding, lower-risk assets like U.S. Treasuries, regulatory ambiguity remains a significant hurdle to expansion of stablecoin usage. The lack of clear regulatory frameworks in the U.S. has left investors cautious and prompted withdrawals from DeFi platforms. The potential adoption of a widely used global stablecoin raises concerns about a shift in purchasing power from sovereign money to private payment services.

See also: How Stablecoins Merge Traditional and Decentralized Finance

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

Recommended for you:

Despite these obstacles, Moody’s believes that stablecoins are likely to play a notable role in a developing digital economy, because they offer an accessible bridge between traditional finance and DeFi. Indeed, some large financial firms are investing in the future of stablecoins. Recently, PayPal introduced an institutional stablecoin, and Visa has extended support for USDC payments within its own operations.

Stablecoins do face competition from more stable alternatives, such as central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and tokenized bank deposits. However, the demand for stability and security in digital currencies remains. Until these alternatives become widely available, in Moody’s view stablecoins will likely be a significant force in shaping the future of digital money.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Bitcoin native application platform Arch developer completes $7 million seed round of financing, led by Multicoin Capital

    Bitcoin native application platform Arch developer Arch Labs announced the completion of a $7 million seed round of financing, led by Multicoin Capital, with participation from Portal Ventures, OKX Ventures, Big Brain Holdings, CMS Holdings and Tangent.

  • Tokenization platform AgriDex completes $5 million Pre-Seed round of financing

    AgriDex, a tokenization platform on the Solana blockchain, announced the completion of a $5 million Pre-Seed round of financing, led by Endeavor Ventures, with participation from African Crops Limited, Oldenburg Vineyards, and former Goldman Sachs and Citadel executive, Hank Oberoi. It is reported that AgriDex is expected to launch its platform and token, AGRI, in the third quarter of this year. According to its white paper, AgriDex has reserved 5% of the total token supply, or 50 million tokens out of 1 billion tokens, for airdrops.

  • UXUY Completes $7 Million Pre-A Round of Financing, with Investments from Binance Labs, Bitcoin Magazine, and Other Institutions

    UXUY, the next-generation decentralized multi-chain trading platform incubated by Binance Labs, announced the completion of a $7 million Pre-A round of financing. Since its establishment, its total financing amount has exceeded $10 million. UXUY is an important builder of the Bitcoin ecosystem, and more than 100,000 traders use Bitcoin Lightning Network services through UXUY. UXUY's current round of financing has received investment from well-known institutions in Asia, North America, and Europe, such as Binance Labs, UTXO Management (Bitcoin Magazine), JDI Ventures, Bixin Ventures, SWC Global, Matrix Partners, CMS Holdings, Dewhales Capital, Comma3 Ventures, Satoshi Labs, YBB Capital, GBV Capital, Web3Vision, Pentos Ventures, NGC Ventures, Alti5, Metalpha, and GSR. The funds raised by UXUY in this round will be used for the construction of the Bitcoin ecosystem infrastructure, and will be committed to promoting the efficient and low-cost trading of Lightning Network Taproot Assets, Ordinals BRC-20, Runes, and other assets. Jordan, co-founder of UXUY, said: "We are pleased to be strategic partners with all investors! This year, we have successfully built a bridge between the Bitcoin Lightning Network and the multi-chain ecosystem. UXUY will continue to promote the use cases and popularization of the Lightning Network in trading scenarios, and make more contributions to the Bitcoin ecosystem." According to RootData, a Web3 asset data platform, UXUY is a next-generation decentralized multi-chain trading platform based on MPC wallets. UXUY actively participates in the construction of the Bitcoin Layer2 ecosystem, fully integrates into the Bitcoin Lightning Network and Taproot ecosystem, provides Lightning Address DID services to users, and becomes an important bridge connecting the Bitcoin and Ethereum ecosystems. As a decentralized multi-chain trading platform, UXUY provides immediate cross-chain trading services for Coin, Token, and Inscription among public chains through the establishment of uPool.

  • Taiwan's administrative agency passed four new anti-fraud laws to bring cryptocurrency traders under control

    It was announced that Taiwan's administrative management agency has passed the "New Anti-Fraud Law" to regulate cryptocurrency traders. In the future, businesses or individuals providing virtual asset services or third-party payment services must complete anti-money laundering measures and register their services or log in. Failure to do so may result in a maximum of 2 years in prison or a fine of up to NT$5 million. Businesses or individuals outside of Taiwan providing virtual asset or third-party payment services must register their companies or branches according to company law and complete anti-money laundering measures and service registration or login. Otherwise, they are not allowed to provide virtual asset services or third-party payment services in Taiwan. Qiu Shuzhen, the deputy chairman of Taiwan's financial regulatory agency, stated that there are currently around 60 to 70 cryptocurrency traders in the market, of which 25 have passed the anti-money laundering review by the financial regulatory agency. In the future, all traders will be required to declare and undergo review, and a cryptocurrency traders' association will be established for legal, administrative, and association management. Accounting professionals will also be enlisted to assist with internal control.

  • EigenLayer TVL falls back to $14.794 billion

    According to DefiLlama data, the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum's re-staking protocol EigenLayer has fallen below $15 billion, currently at $14.794 billion.

  • The EU is considering including cryptocurrencies in the 12 trillion euro investment market, and its impact may far exceed that of US ETFs

    The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is consulting with the investment product advisory industry and experts on whether cryptocurrency assets should be included. This move could open up a broader market for cryptocurrencies, far exceeding the market size of spot Bitcoin ETFs. The plan aims to expand the scope of UCITS (EU Transferable Securities Collective Investment Scheme), with the UCITS market reaching as high as €12 trillion. If successful, this would be a key step in mainstreaming cryptocurrency assets in Europe.

  • SlowMist: The hacker who stole 1,155 WBTC may be from Hong Kong

    According to SlowMist analysis , the IP address associated with the theft of 1155 WBTC has been traced to Hong Kong (VPN use cannot be ruled out). Earlier reports indicated that a certain address was suspected to be a victim of phishing attacks and lost 1155 WBTC, worth 71 million USD. Subsequently, the fraudsters sold all 1155 WBTC and exchanged them for 22960 ETH, and used a large number of wallet addresses to send and launder the funds.

  • Web3 game developer Seeds Labs completes $12 million seed round of financing, with participation from Solana Foundation and others

    According to Cointelegraph, Web3 game developer Seeds Labs has announced the completion of a $12 million seed round financing, with participation from Avalanche's Blizzard Fund, Solana Foundation, Krust, Hashkey Capital, UOB Ventures, Signum Capital, IVC, and Emoote.It is reported that Seeds Labs, a Solana ecosystem game infrastructure developer, was established in 2021, and its Web3 game Bladerite is scheduled to be released this month.

  • Bitcoin opens $63K futures gap as thin liquidity threatens BTC price

    Bitcoin market participants are doubting the staying power of the ongoing BTC price relief bounce.

  • The 133rd Ethereum ACDC meeting: The goal is to complete the devnet within 7-10 days

    The Ethereum developers held their 133rd ACDC conference call. First, they outlined the latest research on Ethereum protocol confirmation rules. Then, they discussed Pectra updates related to EIP-7547 and CFI states, and decided to put them on hold temporarily. They also updated the v1.5.0-alpha.1 specification. Regarding the implementation updates for devnet-0, most teams are making progress, but there are also some unexpected complexities. The goal is to complete devnet within 7-10 days.