Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

The Endgame of Trading: The Ultimate Evolution from Human Intuition to Machine Cognition

Nikolai Bonello Jenkins  CEO of BitradeX | Driving the Future of AI-Powered Finance | Visionary Leader | Web3 & Fintech Evangelist

The soul of trading has never changed—it is always about cognition. From ancient Babylonian clay contracts to the bustling halls of Wall Street, and now to global fiber optic networks, every evolution in financial markets has essentially revolved around how to acquire, process, and utilize information faster and more profoundly—in other words, to enhance the efficiency and depth of cognition.

We are standing at the threshold of a transformation unseen in a century. The driving force behind this change runs deeper than the steam engine or the Internet. We are experiencing a transition: from an era led by human intuition, through a digital age powered by machine instructions, and ultimately toward a cognitive era led by artificial intelligence with autonomous learning and deep understanding.

As the CEO of BitradeX, I see myself as an architect, not just a manager. What our team is doing is not searching for shortcuts on old maps, but drawing an entirely new world map. We firmly believe that AI is not just a tool—it is the blueprint for the future financial order itself. This article aims to articulate this grand and irreversible narrative.

Act I: The Analog Era—The Chasm Between Intuition and Information

Let’s turn the clock back to a time before the Internet was widespread. Imagine the scene: in the trading pit of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, hundreds or thousands of traders in colored vests use intricate hand signals and shouts to complete billion-dollar contracts. In this era, information is scarce, slowly trickling through telephone lines, telegraphs, and ink-scented newspapers.

The key feature of this analog era is intuition-driven trading.

A successful trader’s value depended heavily on personal experience, courage, and that indescribable “feel for the market.” They made buy or sell decisions by observing the crowd’s frenzy and fear, or by picking up subtle changes in a broker’s tone. This skill was more like an art than a science.

But human cognitive bandwidth is extremely limited. Our brains cannot process massive variables at once, and our decisions are easily hijacked by primal emotions like greed and fear. More importantly, severe information asymmetry is the market norm—a few people have access to lower-latency, higher-quality information, building unassailable moats. In this era, trading success often depended on who you knew and how much sooner you knew something than others.

Act II: The Prelude to the Digital Age—The Rise and Limits of Quantitative Trading

With the spread of personal computers and the rise of the Internet, the world of trading saw its first paradigm shift. Physical trading floors were gradually replaced by virtual electronic matching engines. The flagbearer of this revolution was quantitative trading.

This was an era driven by instructions. The “art” of trading began to be replaced by “science.”

Trading strategies were no longer flashes of inspiration in a trader’s mind, but were precisely translated into mathematical models and computer code. Statistical arbitrage, factor models, high-frequency trading—these became Wall Street’s new darlings. The absolute rationality and tireless execution of machines systematically overcame human emotional bias, enabling complex trading strategies to be deployed at scale. Speed became the new god. In a world where every microsecond counts, the closer your server is to the exchange, the greater your advantage.

The rise of quantitative trading greatly enhanced market liquidity and pricing efficiency, and it undoubtedly became the mainstream weapon of global financial institutions. It liberated humans from repetitive order executions, allowing them to focus on strategy development and optimization.

However, despite its immense power, quantitative trading hides a fundamental limitation: it is essentially a “smart calculator,” not a “deep thinker.”

The core of quantitative models is to execute a set of “if-then” instructions based on historical data. For example, “If the historical correlation between Asset A and Asset B deviates by two standard deviations, sell A and buy B.” The system can flawlessly execute this rule, but it does not understand the underlying economic logic, nor the macro factors driving such correlations.

This leads to two fatal weaknesses:

Lack of Data Dimensions:  Traditional quant models mainly process structured numerical data, such as prices and volumes. But for the vast majority of unstructured information in the world—central bank speeches, tech product launches, social media sentiment, subtle geopolitical developments—they are almost powerless. These factors cannot be easily quantified into 0s and 1s, yet they often drive dramatic market shifts.

Vulnerability to “Black Swan” Events:  The effectiveness of quant strategies relies heavily on the assumption that “history repeats itself.” When the market encounters unprecedented paradigms (like the 2008 financial crisis or the 2020 global pandemic), models trained on historical data may completely fail, or even cause catastrophic consequences due to erroneous attribution. They can handle known risks but cannot foresee unknown futures.

Act III: The Cognitive Revolution—AI Foundation Models, the Next Singularity in Trading

Now, in 2025, a new era engine has roared to life: generative AI represented by large language models (LLMs). We are witnessing a full-fledged cognitive revolution.

This is an era driven by cognition. The fundamental leap is the transition from “calculation” to “cognition.”

If quantitative trading is giving machines a detailed operations manual, then AI trading is teaching machines to read, watch the news, understand human language and emotion, and write their own response strategies.

This revolution manifests on three core levels:

Understanding the Unstructured World:  This is the essential difference between AI and traditional quant. An advanced AI trading model can read and comprehend millions of news sources, analyst reports, regulatory filings, financial statements, and even social media discussions in real time. It can detect subtle changes in the Fed Chair’s hawkish or dovish tone, sense whether a CEO’s confidence at a press conference is genuine or feigned, and spot potential risks in vast supply chain data. AI is distilling the world’s most complex “noise” into previously inaccessible, tradable “signals.”

Dynamic Adaptation and Autonomous Evolution:  Static “if-then” rules are becoming obsolete. AI models can continuously learn and evolve from real-time market feedback. When a strategy starts to fail, they can autonomously analyze why—has market structure changed, or has a macro factor shifted? Then, they dynamically adjust their model parameters, or even generate entirely new trading logic to adapt. This self-iterative ability gives them unprecedented resilience in volatile markets.

Complex Reasoning and Scenario Simulation:  Beyond historical backtesting, AI can conduct complex causal reasoning: “What if…?” For example, it can simulate the escalation of a Middle East conflict and its chain reactions on global oil prices, shipping costs, inflation expectations, and monetary policies. This deep domain reasoning provides decision-makers with forward-looking insights beyond the dimension of historical data.

In this cognitive revolution, the source of excess market returns—Alpha—is fundamentally shifting. It no longer comes solely from information or speed advantages, but increasingly from cognitive advantage (“Cognitive Alpha”). In the future, whoever’s AI can understand the world deeper, more comprehensively, and faster will hold the key to unlocking future wealth.

Finale: Building the Next Form of Finance

Looking back at the evolution of trading, we see a clear path: from relying on personal intuition, to machine speed, and ultimately to machine intelligence. Each era overturns the “common sense” of the last.

We stand at a great turning point. The widespread adoption of AI-automated trading will break down cognitive barriers that were once monopolized by a handful of top institutions and give broader participants access to previously unreachable depth of insight.

At BitradeX, we have a peculiar faith in the future. We believe disruption is not an accidental phase, but a discipline to be rigorously followed and executed. With AI as our compass and compliance as our cornerstone, we are not just optimizing a product or a process.

We are building the next form of finance.

Let’s build what comes after finance.

About BitradeX

BitradeX is a world-leading all-in-one AI-powered cryptocurrency trading platform, dedicated to reinventing the digital asset trading experience through innovative AI algorithms and blockchain technology. As the platform with World Cup champion striker Olivier Giroud as its global brand ambassador, BitradeX uniquely blends top athletic spirit with cutting-edge fintech innovation. Powered by its proprietary ARK Trading Model and Deepseek foundation model, the platform has developed flagship products like AiBot to enable fully-automated, intelligent, and disciplined strategy trading—helping users succeed in volatile markets. BitradeX offers a variety of financial services including spot and derivatives, and provides efficient, secure, and transparent digital asset management through multiple security and compliance measures. As a UK-registered compliant financial company, BitradeX holds a US MSB license and has passed code audits by Certik, a globally renowned security firm. Ranked among the global top 100 exchanges by CMC, BitradeX continues to lead the crypto finance industry into a new era of intelligence, compliance, and ecosystem development.

Official website: https://www.bitradex.com/

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Nvidia releases new version of its open-source AI model, claiming it's "faster, cheaper, and smarter."

     on Monday, Nvidia (NVDA.O) released a series of new open-source artificial intelligence models, stating that these models will be faster, cheaper, and smarter than its previous products. Nvidia is mainly known for providing chips, which companies like OpenAI use to train their closed-source models and profit from them. However, Nvidia also offers a large number of proprietary models covering various fields from physical simulation to autonomous vehicles, made available as open-source software for researchers or other companies to use. For example, companies like Palantir Technologies have integrated Nvidia's models into their products. On Monday, Nvidia announced the third-generation "Nemotron" large language model, primarily aimed at tasks such as writing and programming. The smallest model, Nemotron 3 Nano, was released on the same day, while two larger versions will be launched in the first half of 2026. Meanwhile, there are reports that Meta Platforms (META.O) is considering switching to closed-source models, making Nvidia one of the main providers of open-source models in the United States.

  • Ondo Finance will launch its tokenized stock and ETF platform on the Solana blockchain in early 2026.

     Ondo Finance announced on the X platform that its tokenized stocks and ETF platform will launch on the Solana chain in early 2026. Ondo stated that this is currently the largest tokenized stocks and ETF platform, aiming to bring Wall Street liquidity to the internet capital markets.

  • BitMine has increased its holdings by over 330,000 ETH since December.

    according to information disclosed by BitMine, BitMine has increased its holdings by 96,798 ETH, 138,452 ETH, and 102,259 ETH respectively over the past three weeks. Since December 1st, in half a month, a total of 337,509 ETH has been added, bringing the total holdings to 3,967,210 ETH, achieving two-thirds of the goal of "acquiring 5% of the total Ethereum supply."

  • American Bitcoin increased its holdings by 261 BTC, bringing its total to 5,044 BTC.

    according to BitcoinTreasuries.NET data, the Bitcoin holdings of American Bitcoin Corp, a Bitcoin mining company supported by the Trump family, have increased to 5,044 BTC, an increase of 261 BTC.

  • JPMorgan launches its first tokenized money market fund

    according to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase has officially launched its first tokenized money market fund, marking an important step for the banking giant in the application of blockchain technology. The private fund will operate on the Ethereum blockchain and be open to qualified investors. JPMorgan will inject $100 million of its own capital into the fund as startup funding.

  • BTC breaks $90,000

    the market shows BTC breaking through $90,000, currently at $90,027.93, with a 24-hour decline of 0.35%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • American Bitcoin's Bitcoin reserves have increased by approximately 623 BTC in the past 7 days, bringing its current holdings to 4941 BTC.

    Emmett Gallic, a blockchain analyst who previously disclosed and analyzed the "1011 insider whale," posted on the X platform revealing updated data on the Bitcoin reserves of American Bitcoin, a crypto mining company supported by the Trump family. In the past seven days, they increased their holdings by about 623 BTC, of which approximately 80 BTC came from mining income and 542 BTC from strategic acquisitions in the open market. Currently, their total Bitcoin holdings have risen to 4,941 BTC, with a current market value of about 450 million USD.

  • The US spot Ethereum ETF saw a net outflow of $19.4 million yesterday.

    according to TraderT monitoring, the US spot Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 19.4 million USD yesterday.

  • Listed companies, governments, ETFs, and exchanges collectively hold 5.94 million Bitcoins, representing 29.8% of the circulating supply.

    Glassnode analyzed the holdings of major types of Bitcoin holders as follows: Listed companies: about 1.07 million bitcoins, government agencies: about 620,000 bitcoins, US spot ETFs: about 1.31 million bitcoins, exchanges: about 2.94 million bitcoins. These institutions collectively hold about 5.94 million bitcoins, accounting for approximately 29.8% of the circulating supply, highlighting the trend of liquidity increasingly concentrating in institutions and custodians.

  • The Bank of Japan is reportedly planning further interest rate hikes; some officials believe the neutral interest rate will be higher than 1%.

    according to insiders, Bank of Japan officials believe that before the current rate hike cycle ends, interest rates are likely to rise above 0.75%, indicating that there may be more rate hikes after next week's increase. These insiders said that officials believe that even if rates rise to 0.75%, the Bank of Japan has not yet reached the neutral interest rate level. Some officials already consider 1% to still be below the neutral interest rate level. Insiders stated that even if the Bank of Japan updates its neutral rate estimates based on the latest data, it currently does not believe that this range will significantly narrow. Currently, the Bank of Japan's estimate for the nominal neutral interest rate range is about 1% to 2.5%. Insiders said that Bank of Japan officials also believe there may be errors in the upper and lower limits of this range itself. (Golden Ten)