Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

The US dollar doesn’t need to collapse for BTC to reach $200K — Bitwise CIO

From cointelegraph by Martin Young

Growing investment in “store-of-value” assets and continued fiat currency devaluation could propel the price of Bitcoin to six figures without the need for the US dollar to collapse, says Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.

In an Oct. 29 post to X, Hougan addressed a question he’d received from a financial advisor, which asked whether or not Bitcoin could reach a value of $200,000 without some kind of US currency collapse. “When you invest in Bitcoin, you're actually making two bets at once,” said Hougan in a post in response to the question. 

He said that Bitcoin BTC$72,343 will succeed in establishing itself as a “new store-of-value asset” while governments will continue to “abuse fiat currencies” — something that will naturally result in increased demand for hard assets like BTC.

Hougan said that while two arguments addressed the original question, they were two separate points each with their own potential price outcome. 

Bitcoin’s total market capitalization of $1.4 trillion is currently around 7-8% of gold’s $18 trillion market cap, but Hougan says that BTC can “mature” and become worth around half of gold’s total value, making one Bitcoin worth roughly $400,000. 

He added that because governments are currently “abusing” their control over the supply of fiat currency through money printing, more investors will be inclined to own store of value assets. 

If Bitcoin just holds its 7% share relative to gold and the demand for Bitcoin alone triples, each BTC would be worth $200,000.

“Importantly, these arguments compound. If Bitcoin matures and the store of value market doubles, you quickly get to seven figures,” he said. 

“I think this is the most likely scenario eventually.”

                                                                  Source: Matt Hougan 

Demand for more traditional store-of-value assets has risen sharply amid increasing global economic uncertainty and growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with gold prices notching a new all-time high of $2,778 per ounce on Oct. 29. 

Additionally, continued dollar devaluation will likely form a core part of the United States’ industrial policy according to an Oct. 29 report by institutional investor news outlet Financial Sense. 

Related: Paul Tudor Jones says ‘all roads lead to inflation,’ long Bitcoin

In the report, economists Marc Fasteau and Ian Fletcher argued that the US needs a robust industrial policy to compete in the global economy, particularly against China. 

Such a policy “should include support for new technologies, protection against subsidized competition, and a concerted effort in lowering the value of the dollar,” they said. 

                                                                                                   Diminishing USD purchasing power. Source: Visual Capitalist 

Several market commentators believe Bitcoin is poised to reach a new all-time high in the coming weeks, after coming within spitting distance of its March all-time high during late trading on Tuesday, Oct. 29, when it tapped $73,562, according to CoinGecko data

The asset had since retraced slightly and is trading for $72,392 at the time of publication. 

Magazine: Most DePIN projects barely even use blockchain: True or false?

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Spot Gold Falls Below $4600/Ounce

    On August 26, spot gold fell below $4600 per ounce, declining by 1.30% during the day.

  • Spot Gold Falls Below $4600/Ounce

    On August 26, spot gold fell below $4600 per ounce, declining by 1.30% during the day.

  • SEC Submits New Crypto Custody Regulations Proposal to White House

    On August 26, Bloomberg reported that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has submitted a proposal to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) regarding new regulations for investment advisors holding client digital assets. The rule aims to 'clarify the framework for investment advisors and investment companies to custody crypto assets,' addressing inquiries from institutions on how to comply with the custody of digital assets. It plans to eliminate certain existing custody requirements that are considered 'outdated' due to market evolution and current trading and custody practices. This proposal is seen as a step by financial regulators to advance the current administration's crypto agenda while relevant legislation remains stalled in the Senate. It will take effect after review by the OMB, a vote by SEC commissioners, and a public comment period.

  • BTC Falls Below $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $78,000, currently priced at $77,983.75, with a 24-hour decline of 1.03%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Falls Below $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $78,000, currently priced at $77,983.75, with a 24-hour decline of 1.03%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • Alibaba Qwen Releases Qwen 3.8-Flash Model

    On August 26, Alibaba Qwen launched the Qwen 3.8-Flash model, which is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview of the Qwen 4 architecture. The production version of Qwen 3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at just $0.16 per million input tokens and $0.47 per million output tokens. The model features 125 billion parameters plus 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but activates only 6 billion parameters per token, achieving high cost-effectiveness.

  • Alibaba Qwen Releases Qwen 3.8-Flash Model

    On August 26, Alibaba Qwen launched the Qwen 3.8-Flash model, which is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview of the Qwen 4 architecture. The production version of Qwen 3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at just $0.16 per million input tokens and $0.47 per million output tokens. The model features 125 billion parameters plus 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but activates only 6 billion parameters per token, achieving high cost-effectiveness.

  • Slight Increase in Expectations for Fed Rate Hike Next Month

    On August 26, market pricing indicated a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month, following the release of data from the U.S. government showing that the inflation indicator closely monitored by the Fed rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly above economists' expectations. Futures data indicated that after the release of this data, the market estimated the probability of a Fed rate hike in September at approximately 42%, up from about 36% before the data was released.

  • Slight Increase in Expectations for Fed Rate Hike Next Month

    On August 26, market pricing indicated a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month, following the release of data from the U.S. government showing that the inflation indicator closely monitored by the Fed rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly above economists' expectations. Data from interest rate futures revealed that after the announcement, the market estimated the probability of a Fed rate hike in September at about 42%, up from approximately 36% before the data was released.

  • U.S. Core PCE Increased 0.2% Month-on-Month in July, Meeting Market Expectations

    On August 26, it was reported that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.2% month-on-month in July, matching the market forecast of 0.2%, while the previous value was 0.1%.