Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

The US dollar doesn’t need to collapse for BTC to reach $200K — Bitwise CIO

From cointelegraph by Martin Young

Growing investment in “store-of-value” assets and continued fiat currency devaluation could propel the price of Bitcoin to six figures without the need for the US dollar to collapse, says Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.

In an Oct. 29 post to X, Hougan addressed a question he’d received from a financial advisor, which asked whether or not Bitcoin could reach a value of $200,000 without some kind of US currency collapse. “When you invest in Bitcoin, you're actually making two bets at once,” said Hougan in a post in response to the question. 

He said that Bitcoin BTC$72,343 will succeed in establishing itself as a “new store-of-value asset” while governments will continue to “abuse fiat currencies” — something that will naturally result in increased demand for hard assets like BTC.

Hougan said that while two arguments addressed the original question, they were two separate points each with their own potential price outcome. 

Bitcoin’s total market capitalization of $1.4 trillion is currently around 7-8% of gold’s $18 trillion market cap, but Hougan says that BTC can “mature” and become worth around half of gold’s total value, making one Bitcoin worth roughly $400,000. 

He added that because governments are currently “abusing” their control over the supply of fiat currency through money printing, more investors will be inclined to own store of value assets. 

If Bitcoin just holds its 7% share relative to gold and the demand for Bitcoin alone triples, each BTC would be worth $200,000.

“Importantly, these arguments compound. If Bitcoin matures and the store of value market doubles, you quickly get to seven figures,” he said. 

“I think this is the most likely scenario eventually.”

                                                                  Source: Matt Hougan 

Demand for more traditional store-of-value assets has risen sharply amid increasing global economic uncertainty and growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with gold prices notching a new all-time high of $2,778 per ounce on Oct. 29. 

Additionally, continued dollar devaluation will likely form a core part of the United States’ industrial policy according to an Oct. 29 report by institutional investor news outlet Financial Sense. 

Related: Paul Tudor Jones says ‘all roads lead to inflation,’ long Bitcoin

In the report, economists Marc Fasteau and Ian Fletcher argued that the US needs a robust industrial policy to compete in the global economy, particularly against China. 

Such a policy “should include support for new technologies, protection against subsidized competition, and a concerted effort in lowering the value of the dollar,” they said. 

                                                                                                   Diminishing USD purchasing power. Source: Visual Capitalist 

Several market commentators believe Bitcoin is poised to reach a new all-time high in the coming weeks, after coming within spitting distance of its March all-time high during late trading on Tuesday, Oct. 29, when it tapped $73,562, according to CoinGecko data

The asset had since retraced slightly and is trading for $72,392 at the time of publication. 

Magazine: Most DePIN projects barely even use blockchain: True or false?

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • BTC Falls Below $76,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $76,000, currently priced at $75,990.02, with a 24-hour increase of 0.9%. The market is highly volatile, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • Iranian Military Spokesman: Control Over Strait of Hormuz Restored Due to U.S. 'Breach of Promises'

    On April 18, Iranian media reported that an Iranian military spokesman stated that control over the Strait of Hormuz has been restored to its previous state due to the U.S. 'repeatedly breaching promises.' The strait is currently under strict management and control by the Iranian armed forces. (Xinhua News Agency)

  • BTC Falls Below $77,000

    Market data shows that BTC has fallen below $77,000, currently priced at $76,997.37, with a 24-hour increase of 2.68%. The market is experiencing significant fluctuations, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • Iranian Civil Aviation Organization Announces Partial Reopening of Airspace

    According to Iranian media reports on the 18th, the Iranian Civil Aviation Organization announced the reopening of part of Iran's airspace and several airports. (Xinhua)

  • Bitcoin ETF Sees $663.9 Million Net Inflow, Ethereum ETF Sees $127.4 Million Net Inflow

    On April 18, according to Farside Investors, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $663.9 million yesterday, with IBIT net inflow at $284 million, FBTC net inflow at $163.4 million, and ARKB net inflow at $117.9 million. The Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $127.4 million yesterday, marking the seventh consecutive day of net inflows, with ETHA net inflow at $30.8 million and FETH net inflow at $84.1 million.

  • Trump Hints at 'Good News' on Iran Issue

    On April 18, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that there is some 'pretty good news' regarding the Iran issue, but he declined to provide further details. 'We heard some pretty good news about 20 minutes ago, and it seems that progress related to Iran in the Middle East is going very smoothly,' Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One. When asked what the so-called good news was, Trump replied, 'You will hear it. I think it is something that should happen. It is a matter of course. And I believe it will happen. We will see, but I think it will happen.' (Jinshi)

  • Trump Suggests War Will Resume if No Agreement with Iran is Reached

    On April 18, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that if an agreement with Iran is not reached by Wednesday, war will resume. When asked if he was prepared to extend the ceasefire agreement if no deal is made by the time the ceasefire expires on Wednesday, Trump replied, "Maybe I won't extend the ceasefire. But the blockade will continue. So, the blockade remains in place, and unfortunately, we will have to start dropping bombs again," Trump warned.

  • Chinese Ship Trapped in Strait of Hormuz Informs Crew to Prepare for Departure

    On April 18, according to Yicai, around 4 PM local time on the 17th, the Chinese ship trapped in the Strait of Hormuz has informed its crew to 'prepare for departure.' According to CCTV, on the afternoon of the 17th, Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated on social media that, based on the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon, all commercial vessels are allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz completely open during the remaining time of the ceasefire, following the coordinated routes announced by Iranian ports and maritime organizations.

  • DeepSeek Seeks Over $300 Million in First Round of External Funding

    According to The Information, DeepSeek is seeking over $300 million in its first round of external funding, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,024.64, with a 24-hour increase of 5.63%. The market is highly volatile, so please ensure proper risk management.