Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Crypto sentiment holds steady as Bitcoin drops to $105K

Crypto market sentiment has held steady despite Bitcoin tumbling almost 2% over the past day to change hands close to the $105,000 price level.

The sentiment-tracking Crypto Fear & Greed Index posted a “Greed” score of 63 out of 100 on Wednesday, slipping one point from Tuesday, as Bitcoin pulled back 1.79% in a drop to $105,560 after nearly reaching $108,000 the previous day,accordingto CoinMarketCap data.

Sentiment strong leading into historically poor Q3

Crypto analysts have speculated when Bitcoin might retest its all-time high of $111,970 reached on May 22. Optimism was high on Monday as its price hovered just below $109,000, before slipping into another short-term downtrend.

  Bitcoin is trading at $105,560 at the time of publication. Source: CoinMarketCap

Some analysts noted that the third quarter, which began on July 1, is typically a weaker period for Bitcoin. 

“From the historical data, this quarter is generally the slowest out of all, for both $BTC and $ETH,” crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades said on Tuesday.

Since 2013, Bitcoin has averaged a 5.47% gain during the third quarter each year, according to CoinGlass. If that trend holds, it would place Bitcoin’s price around $111,000 on Sept. 30 — just shy of its all-time high of $111,970.

Daan said the weaker performance during the quarter is due to the “slower summer months where there’s generally less action, volumes [and] liquidity.”

Bitcoin’s Q2 performance matched average gain

Bitcoin closely matched its historical average performance during the second quarter, which ended June 30, posting a 31% gain at $108,383 — approximately 4% above the 27% average Q2 return since 2014. However, Bitcoin ended the month of June with its highest monthly candle.

Other indicators signal that the market is still heavily favoring Bitcoin. Bitcoin dominance is sitting around 65.5%, up nearly 13% so far this year, according to TradingView. 

Meanwhile, CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index, which bases the performance of the top 100 altcoins relative to Bitcoin over the past 90 days, is sitting at a “Bitcoin Season” score of 20 out of 100.

However, CryptoQuant's head of research, Julio Moreno, said on Wednesday that CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Metric has declined to a level of uncertainty.

“Bitcoin Bull Score is in NEUTRAL territory now– 50. Needs to be 60 or above for prices to sustain a rally,” Moreno said.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Trump Shares Op-Ed Claiming He is Winning the War Against Iran

    On August 29, U.S. President Trump shared a commentary article from the New York Post on Truth Social on Saturday, which stated that he is winning the war against Iran and should maintain the current strategy. The title of the article Trump shared read: 'Trump is Winning the War Against Iran - Stay the Course.'

  • Morgan Stanley: 2028 as a Key Observation Point for Global Memory Competition Landscape

    On August 29, Morgan Stanley pointed out that the rise of Chinese memory manufacturers should not be viewed merely as a technological catch-up or low-cost substitution; what is truly noteworthy is that their production capacity may gradually become large enough to alter the supply structure of the global memory market. Changxin Technology and Yangtze Memory Technologies are currently entering the mainstream product market and gradually extending into high-profit markets such as HBM, high-end server DRAM, and enterprise SSDs. Morgan Stanley considers 2028 as an important observation point for the global memory competition landscape. From 2026 to 2027, demand for AI servers, capacity crowding of advanced wafers by HBM, import substitution, and the time required for customer certification may absorb most of the new supply from Chinese memory manufacturers. By 2028, as Chinese manufacturers expand production, the additional capacity from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, which had previously initiated expansions, will also be released. At that time, the supply variables in the global memory market will significantly increase. Morgan Stanley estimates that Changxin's DRAM monthly production capacity will rise from 180,000 wafers in 2025 to 300,000 in 2026, accounting for approximately 13% of global DRAM wafer capacity and about 11% of bit shipments; by 2028, it is expected to further increase to 500,000 wafers, and by 2031, it could reach 800,000 wafers. If the expansion proceeds smoothly, Changxin's global DRAM bit shipment market share could approach 15% by 2030, and it may even have the opportunity to surpass Micron in production capacity around 2028, becoming the third-largest DRAM supplier in the world.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Ethereum ETF Sees Net Inflow of $102.17 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Ethereum ETF experienced a net inflow of $102.17 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees Net Outflow of $201.81 Million Yesterday

    On August 29, according to monitoring by Trader T, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow of $201.81 million yesterday.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49. The 24-hour decline has narrowed to 3.23%. Due to significant market fluctuations, please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Surpasses $78,000

    Market data shows that BTC has surpassed $78,000, currently priced at $78,009.49, with a 24-hour decline narrowing to 3.23%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.

  • BTC Briefly Drops Below $77,000

    Market data shows that BTC briefly fell below $77,000, currently reported at $77,694, with a 24-hour decline of 3.3%. The market is experiencing significant volatility, so please ensure proper risk management.