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US economic data slightly exceeded expectations, the market got a temporary respite, but it is still difficult to be optimistic before the adjustment motivation is resolved （03.10~03.16）
The worries about “stagflation” are hard to dispel, and the longer it drags on, the greater the room for valuation to be revised downward, which is why we are pessimistic about BTC’s rebound in the short term.
Trading on expectations of a US recession, BTC recorded its second largest weekly drop in this cycle (03.03~03.09)
Whether the rebound of US stocks and BTC can continue requires more observation, and whether they can bottom out and reverse requires more guidance from economic data.
EMC Labs February report: Expectations of a US economic recession re-emerge, BTC suffers a cyclical blow, ushering in a good opportunity for medium- and long-term investment
This month, the BTC Spot ETF recorded its largest monthly outflow since its inception, with the BTC price experiencing its largest pullback in the current cycle.
EMC Labs April report: Macro financial crisis emerges, but on-site funds remain unchanged
综合研判，3~4月的下跌属牛市正常回调，后市走势取决于宏观金融预期及场内资金的选择。
ETH approved and the US election warm-up boosted BTC to regain its upward momentum —— EMC BTC Weekly Observation (5.20~5.26)
Gradual upward movement, with multiple instances of stop-losses at high levels and consolidation along the way, resulting in sufficient turnover to provide strong support for subsequent gains.
EMC Labs May report: Policy factors have an increasing impact, and buying power is gathering to find a breakthrough point
In May, ETF channel inflows reached as high as $1.905 billion, which may become an independent force influencing the price of BTC.
Ready to go, just waiting for the interest rate cut breakthrough - EMC Bitcoin Weekly Observation (6.03~6.09)
BTC holdings continue to accumulate between $66,000 and $70,000, and a market breakout may only require clearer expectations of interest rate cuts.
The waiting period for interest rate cuts may be extended, and there is a risk of adjustment in the short term - EMC Bitcoin Weekly Observation (June 10~June 16)
Market supply and demand are fragile, and BTC is experiencing miner capitulation.
Short-term liquidation continues, or testing the $60,000 mark - EMC Bitcoin Weekly Observation (June 17~June 23)
The market continues to fluctuate within the $60,000–$70,000 range, consolidating in preparation for reaching a new all-time high ahead of schedule.
Short-term effective support, capital pressure becomes the decisive factor - EMC Labs Bitcoin Weekly Observation (6.24~6.30)
The market has once again found strong support at the short-term holders' breakeven level, but an effective breakout may be required to exit the current phase of weak consolidation.
EMC Labs
以投资驱动区块链技术及应用的大规模落地！
