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Interest rate cut expectations are priced in at 75 basis points this year; BTC rises 3.77% this week; Altseason proceeds smoothly.

The market may experience fluctuations after next week's interest rate cut, but this will not change the medium- to long-term positive outlook.
Interest rate cut expectations are priced in at 75 basis points this year; BTC rises 3.77% this week; Altseason proceeds smoothly.

How to cope with the BTC cycle under the heavy pressure of the cyclical "curse"? (October 13-19)

With the US-China trade war easing, BTC has once again fallen to the bull-bear dividing line, and the cyclical pattern is driving clear signs of a "top".
How to cope with the BTC cycle under the heavy pressure of the cyclical "curse"? (October 13-19)

Multiple positive factors have combined to temporarily stabilize BTC, but the predicament remains unresolved (October 20-26).

Risk appetite has not yet improved, and funding in the crypto market remains extremely tight.
Multiple positive factors have combined to temporarily stabilize BTC, but the predicament remains unresolved (October 20-26).

Passion is being curbed, and BTC is showing signs of a "bear market reversal".

With the resumption of interest rate cuts, BTC initiated a new round of gains, but the turmoil caused by the "reciprocal tariff war" black swan event stifled market enthusiasm, and "cyclical"
Passion is being curbed, and BTC is showing signs of a "bear market reversal".

Beset by internal and external troubles, BTC has experienced a catastrophic crash, and a December interest rate cut may be the only turning point (November 17-23).

This week saw the largest loss since the beginning of the period, with the price of BTC remaining below the 360-day moving average for two consecutive weeks.
Beset by internal and external troubles, BTC has experienced a catastrophic crash, and a December interest rate cut may be the only turning point (November 17-23).

Repricing + High Turnover: The Logic and Reflections on BTC's November Plunge

Short- to medium-term liquidity changes, coupled with internal dynamics, drove BTC to its second-largest monthly drop in this cycle in November.
Repricing + High Turnover: The Logic and Reflections on BTC's November Plunge

With the liquidity crisis resolved, BTC has entered a weak equilibrium, and the return of active buying power is key to breaking the deadlock (December 1st to December 7th).

A US rate cut in December is a foregone conclusion, but the "bear market crisis" for BTC is far from a liquidity test.
With the liquidity crisis resolved, BTC has entered a weak equilibrium, and the return of active buying power is key to breaking the deadlock (December 1st to December 7th).

Supported by interest rate cuts and pressured by earnings reports, BTC continues to fluctuate within a narrow range (December 8th to December 14th).

BTC continues to move in tandem with the Nasdaq, awaiting the release of November's CPI and non-farm payroll data next week, as well as the impact of Japan's interest rate hike.
Supported by interest rate cuts and pressured by earnings reports, BTC continues to fluctuate within a narrow range (December 8th to December 14th).