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Expectations of interest rate cuts boosted US stocks, and BTC neared its all-time high. Altseason has begun (August 4-10).
As concerns remain, the market is pricing in a "rate cut in September, the third this year" and has seen a sharp rise.
US economic data cooled, interest rate cut expectations were revised downward, but crypto asset buying power remained strong (August 11-17)
Altseason begins, and a large amount of funds flow into ETH, even exceeding BTC.
The Fed Chairman's "dovish" stance indicates that interest rate cuts will resume in September. The slowdown in capital inflows and sector rotation have led to BTC adjustments.
After the Fed Chairman’s dovish remarks, non-farm payrolls and August inflation data became the main trading points in the future market.
Expectations of interest rate cuts are intertwined with valuation concerns. BTC will continue its fourth wave of growth after the upward relay.
The decline in main buying power, the selling of ancient whales and the rotation of funds are the main reasons for the weakening of BTC.
US employment data supports the resumption of interest rate cuts in September. New SEC regulations cool down treasury companies. BTC rises 2.66% this week.
The new SEC rules will slow down the pace and scale of acquisitions by treasury companies, which the market sees as a major negative.
The reciprocal tariff war has made significant progress, with both buying and selling booming. BTC consolidated and gained momentum, rising 1.84% this week (July 21-27)
The threat of the August 1 tariff war deadline has been reduced, and the US economic and employment data continue to show expectations of a "soft landing", with expectations of interest rate cuts becoming a key factor influencing the market.
Tariffs, employment and interest rate cut expectations are pushed to the limit, BTC surged 9.08% to a record high 07.07~07.13
With the resonance of on-site and off-site funds, BTC started the fourth wave of rise in this bull market.
US employment data is strong, tariff conflict is coming to an end, BTC fluctuates at a high level and is waiting to break through (06.30~07.06)
If the on-site funds are activated and achieve resonance with the off-site funds, the fourth wave of BTC's rise in this bull market will come.
The United States intervenes in the Iran-Israel conflict, and the intensified geopolitics pushes BTC downwards, focusing on the $100,000 support. 6.15-22
The logic of BTC’s medium- to long-term price trend has not changed, unless the Iran-Israel conflict evolves into a regional war with U.S. involvement.
Inflation data is lower than expected, the "Iran-Israel conflict" disrupts the situation, BTC rises and then falls into adjustment (06.09~06.15)
The internal structure is solid, and the short-term trend of BTC depends on the progress of the "geopolitical conflict".
EMC Labs
以投资驱动区块链技术及应用的大规模落地！
